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We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Gaussian process-based models are attractive for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE), but their computational cost limits scalability in causal inference settings. In this work, we address this challenge by extending Patchwork…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Hajime Ogawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa

An efficient and robust linear scaling method is presented for large scale {\it ab initio} electronic structure calculations of a wide variety of materials including metals. The detailed short range and the effective long range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Taisuke Ozaki

Understanding centennial scale climate variability requires data sets that are accurate, long, continuous and of broad spatial coverage. Since instrumental measurements are generally only available after 1850, temperature fields must be…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-03 Dominique Guillot , Bala Rajaratnam , Julien Emile-Geay

The canonical technique for nonlinear modeling of spatial/point-referenced data is known as kriging in geostatistics, and as Gaussian Process (GP) regression for surrogate modeling and statistical learning. This article reviews many…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-16 Ryan B. Christianson , Ryan M. Pollyea , Robert B. Gramacy

In the last two decades, the linear model of coregionalization (LMC) has been widely used to model multivariate spatial processes. However, it can be a challenging task to conduct likelihood-based inference for such models because of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-04 Renaud Alie , David A. Stephens , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We consider an effective new method for solving trust-region and norm-regularization problems that arise as subproblems in many optimization applications. We show that the solutions to such subproblems effectively lie in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Hussam Al Daas , Nicholas I. M. Gould

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

Krylov subspace methods are an essential building block in numerical simulation software. The efficient utilization of modern hardware is a challenging problem in the development of these methods. In this work, we develop Krylov subspace…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-07 Nils-Arne Dreier

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

Most machine learning methods require careful selection of hyper-parameters in order to train a high performing model with good generalization abilities. Hence, several automatic selection algorithms have been introduced to overcome tedious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Raju Ram , Sabine Müller , Franz-Josef Pfreundt , Nicolas R. Gauger , Janis Keuper

Variability in the light curves of spotted, rotating stars is often non-sinusoidal and quasi-periodic --- spots move on the stellar surface and have finite lifetimes, causing stellar flux variations to slowly shift in phase. A strictly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-27 Ruth Angus , Timothy Morton , Suzanne Aigrain , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Vinesh Rajpaul

Pipelined Krylov subspace methods (also referred to as communication-hiding methods) have been proposed in the literature as a scalable alternative to classic Krylov subspace algorithms for iteratively computing the solution to a large…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Siegfried Cools , Jeffrey Cornelis , Wim Vanroose

We derive a single pass algorithm for computing the gradient and Fisher information of Vecchia's Gaussian process loglikelihood approximation, which provides a computationally efficient means for applying the Fisher scoring algorithm for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Joseph Guinness

In this paper we propose an adaptive approach for clustering and visualization of data by an orthogonalization process. Starting with the data points being represented by a Markov process using the diffusion map framework, the method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-26 Martin Ryner , Johan Karlsson

Stochastic kriging has been widely employed for simulation metamodeling to predict the response surface of complex simulation models. However, its use is limited to cases where the design space is low-dimensional because, in general, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Liang Ding , Xiaowei Zhang

Spatial data collected worldwide at a huge number of locations are frequently used in environmental and climate studies. Spatial modelling for this type of data presents both methodological and computational challenges. In this work we…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Fedele Greco , Massimo Ventrucci , Elisa Castelli

Gaussian Markov random fields are used in a large number of disciplines in machine vision and spatial statistics. The models take advantage of sparsity in matrices introduced through the Markov assumptions, and all operations in inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-08 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Seismic fragility curves have been introduced as key components of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment studies. They express the probability of failure of mechanical structures conditional to a seismic intensity measure and must take into…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-13 Clement Gauchy , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier