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We derive the default cascade model and the fire-sale spillover model in a unified interdependent framework. The interactions among banks include not only direct cross-holding, but also indirect dependency by holding mutual assets outside…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 William A. Barnett , Xue Wang , Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-28 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

The structure of many financial networks is protected by privacy and has to be inferred from aggregate observables. Here we consider one of the most successful network reconstruction methods, producing random graphs with desired link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-21 Andrea Gabrielli , Valentina Macchiati , Diego Garlaschelli

Interconnected agents such as firms in a supply chain make simultaneous preparatory investments to increase chances of honouring their respective bilateral agreements. Failures cascade: if one fails their agreement, then so do all who…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-15 Jens Gudmundsson , Jens Leth Hougaard , Jay Sethuraman

Modern financial networks exhibit a high degree of interconnectedness and determining the causes of instability and contagion in financial networks is necessary to inform policy and avoid future financial collapse. In the American Economic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Brett Hemenway , Sanjeev Khanna

We develop a dynamic model of cascading failures in a financial network whereby cross-holdings are viewed as feedback, external assets investments as inputs and failure penalties as static nonlinearities. We provide sufficient milder and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Stefanny Ramirez , Maaike Odijk , Dario Bauso

The recent financial crisis of 2008 and the 2011 indebtedness of Greece highlight the importance of understanding the structure of the global financial network. In this paper we set out to analyze and characterize this network, as captured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Tilman Dette , Scott Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

For centuries, financial institutions have responded to liquidity challenges by forming closed, centralized clearing clubs with strict rules and membership that allow them to collaborate on using the least money to discharge the most debt.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Ethan Buchman , Paolo Dini , Shoaib Ahmed , Andrew Miller , Tomaž Fleischman

In this paper, we construct a decentralized clearing mechanism which endogenously and automatically provides a claims resolution procedure. This mechanism can be used to clear a network of obligations through blockchain. In particular, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Hamed Amini , Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

We consider a network of bank holdings, where every holding has two subsidiaries of different types. A subsidiary can trade with another holding's subsidiary of the same type. Holdings support their subsidiaries up to a certain level when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-11 Maxim Bichuch , Nils Detering

Credit and liquidity risks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Giulio Cimini , Matteo Serri

Operation of critical infrastructures are highly interdependent on each other. Such dependencies causes failure in these infrastructures to cascade on an initial failure event. Owing to this vulnerability it is imperative to incorporate…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Joydeep Banerjee , Arunabha Sen , Chenyang Zho

Recent network research has focused on the cascading failures in a system of interdependent networks and the necessary preconditions for system collapse. An important question that has not been addressed is how to repair a failing system…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-27 M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , H. E. Stanley , S. Havlin , L. A. Braunstein

Threats on the stability of a financial system may severely affect the functioning of the entire economy, and thus considerable emphasis is placed on the analyzing the cause and effect of such threats. The financial crisis in the current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Piotr Berman , Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder , Marek Karpinski

We address the problem of banking system resilience by applying off-equilibrium statistical physics to a system of particles, representing the economic agents, modelled according to the theoretical foundation of the current banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-04 João P. da Cruz , Pedro G. Lind

The recent banking crisis has again emphasized the importance of understanding and mitigating systemic risk in financial networks. In this paper, we study a market-driven approach to rescue a bank in distress based on the idea of claims…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Martin Hoefer , Carmine Ventre , Lisa Wilhelmi

The maximum achievable capacity from source to destination in a network is limited by the min-cut max-flow bound; this serves as a converse limit. In practice, link capacities often fluctuate due to dynamic network conditions. In this work,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Rivka Gitik , Alejandro Cohen
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