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This study presents an integrated approach to understanding epidemic dynamics through a stochastic spatio-temporal simulation model on a multiplex network, blending physical and informational layers. The physical layer maps the geographic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-26 H. M. Shadman Tabib , Jaber Ahmed Deedar , K. M. Ariful Kabir

Individuals involved in common group activities/settings -- e.g., college students that are enrolled in the same class and/or live in the same dorm -- are exposed to recurrent contacts of physical proximity. These contacts are known to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-22 Siddharth Patwardhan , Varun K. Rao , Santo Fortunato , Filippo Radicchi

Human interactions and mobility shape epidemic dynamics by facilitating disease outbreaks and their spatial spread across regions. Traditional models often isolate commuting and random mobility as separate behaviors, focusing either on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Pablo Valgañón , Antonio Brotons , David Soriano-Paños , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

We present a novel method for analysing socio-spatial segregation in cities by considering constraints imposed by transportation networks. Using a multilayered network approach, we model the interaction probabilities of socio-economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 Mateo Neira , Carlos Molinero , Stephen Marshall , Elsa Arcaute

Due to modern transportation networks (airplanes, cruise ships, etc.) an epidemic in a given country or city may be triggered by the arrival of external infected agents. Posterior government quarantine policies are usually taken in order to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 L. A. Rodríguez Palomino , Adrián A. Budini

In this study we present a dynamical agent-based model to investigate the interplay between the socio-economy of and SEIRS-type epidemic spreading over a geographical area, divided to smaller area districts and further to smallest area…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-20 Jan E. Snellman , Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Maarit J. Käpylä

Agent-based models are a natural choice for modeling complex social systems. In such models simple stochastic interaction rules for a large population of individuals can lead to emergent dynamics on the macroscopic scale, for instance a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-02 Luzie Helfmann , Jobst Heitzig , Péter Koltai , Jürgen Kurths , Christof Schütte

Improved mobility not only contributes to more intensive human activities but also facilitates the spread of communicable disease, thus constituting a major threat to billions of urban commuters. In this study, we present a multi-city…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-11 Xinwu Qian , Lijun Sun , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Understanding urban mobility requires models that capture how people interact with and navigate the built environment. We present a scalable, generalizable agent-based framework in which daily schedules emerge from the interplay between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-30 Sandro M. Reia , Henrique F. de Arruda , Shiyang Ruan , Taylor Anderson , Hamdi Kavak , Dieter Pfoser

Computational disease modeling plays a crucial role in understanding and controlling the transmission of infectious diseases. While agent-based models (ABMs) provide detailed insights into individual dynamics, accurately replicating human…

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

Today's most troublesome population health challenges are often driven by social and environmental determinants, which are difficult to model using traditional epidemiological methods. We agree with those who have argued for the wider…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Eric Silverman , Umberto Gostoli , Stefano Picascia , Jonatan Almagor , Mark McCann , Richard Shaw , Claudio Angione

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has changed our lives and still poses a challenge to science. Numerous studies have contributed to a better understanding of the pandemic. In particular, inhalation of aerosolised pathogens has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-02 Simon Rahn , Marion Gödel , Gerta Köster , Gesine Hofinger

We develop flexible, semiparametric estimators of the average treatment effect (ATE) transported to a new population ("target population") that offer potential efficiency gains. Transport may be of value when the ATE may differ across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas T. Williams , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Ivan Diaz

With the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic spreading across the world, protective measures for containing the virus are essential, especially as long as no vaccine or effective treatment is available. One important measure is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-09 Thomas Harweg , Daniel Bachmann , Frank Weichert

We introduce a surveillance strategy specifically designed for urban areas to enhance preparedness and response to disease outbreaks by leveraging the unique characteristics of human behavior within urban contexts. By integrating data on…

Individual traffic significantly contributes to climate change and environmental degradation. Therefore, innovation in sustainable mobility is gaining importance as it helps to reduce environmental pollution. However, effects of new ideas…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Johannes Nguyen , Simon T. Powers , Neil Urquhart , Thomas Farrenkopf , Michael Guckert

The spreading of virus infection is here simulated over artificial human networks. Here, the real-space urban life of people is modeled as a scale-free network with constraints. A scale-free network has been adopted for modeling on-line…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-30 Yukio Ohsawa

Various theoretical models have been proposed to understand the basic nature of epidemics. Recent studies focus on the effects of mobility to epidemic process. However, uncorrelated random walk is typically assumed as the type of movement.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-04 Genki Ichinose , Yoshiki Satotani , Hiroki Sayama , Takashi Nagatani

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has directly impacted the public health and economy worldwide. To overcome this problem, countries have adopted different policies and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling…