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This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

We present that, instead of establishing the equations of motion, one can model-freely reveal the dynamical properties of a black-box system using a learning machine. Trained only by a segment of time series of a state variable recorded at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Hong Zhao

This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of some social systems whose properties can be captured by certain iterated function systems. To achieve this intension, we start from the theory of iterated function systems, and then we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Shilei Wang

As net-load becomes less predictable there is a lot of pressure in changing decision models for power markets such that they account explicitly for future scenarios in making commitment decisions. This paper proposes to make commitment…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Bita Analui , Anna Scaglione

In this paper, the question how spiking neural network (SNN) learns and fixes in its internal structures a model of external world dynamics is explored. This question is important for implementation of the model-based reinforcement learning…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Mikhail Kiselev

We present a novel approach to investigate the long-time stochastic dynamics of multi-dimensional classical systems, in contact with a heat-bath. When the potential energy landscape is rugged, the kinetics displays a decoupling of short and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 O. Corradini , P. Faccioli , H. Orland

In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

Applying the mathematical circulation theory of Markov chains, we investigate the synchronized stochastic dynamics of a discrete network model of yeast cell-cycle regulation where stochasticity has been kept rather than being averaged out.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-04-16 Hao Ge , Hong Qian , Min Qian

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

Deep networks are commonly used to model dynamical systems, predicting how the state of a system will evolve over time (either autonomously or in response to control inputs). Despite the predictive power of these systems, it has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-20 Gaurav Manek , J. Zico Kolter

Continuous Time Markov Chain (CMTC) is widely used to describe and analyze systems in several knowledge areas. Steady state availability is one important analysis that can be made through Markov chain formalism that allows researchers…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Eduardo M. Vasconcelos

The main purpose of this work is to study self-similar branching Markov chains. First we will construct such a process. Then we will establish certain Limit Theorems using the theory of self-similar Markov processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-24 Nathalie Krell

Modern learning systems increasingly interact with data that evolve over time and depend on hidden internal state. We ask a basic question: when is such a dynamical system learnable from observations alone? This paper proposes a research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Elad Hazan , Shai Shalev Shwartz , Nathan Srebro

Increasing availability and quality of actual, as opposed to scheduled, open transport data offers new possibilities for capturing the spatiotemporal dynamics of the railway and other networks of social infrastructure. One way to describe…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Georg Anagnostopoulos , Vahid Moosavi

Probabilistic ideas and tools have recently begun to permeate into several fields where they had traditionally not played a major role, including fields such as numerical linear algebra and optimization. One of the key ways in which these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Robert M. Gower

In this paper, an approach to estimating a nonlinear deterministic model is presented. We introduce a stochastic model with extremely small variances so that the deterministic and stochastic models are essentially indistinguishable from…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-13 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Stephen G. Walker

We propose dynamical systems trees (DSTs) as a flexible class of models for describing multiple processes that interact via a hierarchy of aggregating parent chains. DSTs extend Kalman filters, hidden Markov models and nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Andrew Howard , Tony S. Jebara

We derive Markovian master equations of single and interacting harmonic systems in different scenarios, including strong internal coupling. By comparing the dynamics resulting from the corresponding Markovian master equations with exact…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-11-18 Ángel Rivas , A. Douglas K. Plato , Susana F. Huelga , Martin B. Plenio

Detecting the time evolution of the community structure of networks is crucial to identify major changes in the internal organization of many complex systems, which may undergo important endogenous or exogenous events. This analysis can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-21 Clara Granell , Richard K. Darst , Alex Arenas , Santo Fortunato , Sergio Gómez
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