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The number of new infections per day is a key quantity for effective epidemic management. It can be estimated relatively directly by testing of random population samples. Without such direct epidemiological measurement, other approaches are…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 Simon N. Wood

This contribution analyzes the COVID-19 outbreak by comparably simple mathematical and numerical methods. The final goal is to predict the peak of the epidemic outbreak per country with a reliable technique. This is done by an algorithm…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Robert Schaback

This note considers the problem of conducting statistical inference on the share of individuals in some subgroup of a population that experience some event. The specific complication is that the size of the subgroup needs to be estimated,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-15 Christoph Rothe

Effective strategies of vaccine prioritization are essential to mitigate the impacts of severe infectious diseases. We investigate the role of infection fatality ratio (IFR) and social contact matrices on vaccination prioritization using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Arthur Schulenburg , Wesley Cota , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

The synthetic control method is an empirical methodology forcausal inference using observational data. By observing thespread of COVID-19 throughout the world, we analyze the dataon the number of deaths and cases in different regions…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Niloofar Bayat , Cody Morrin , Yuheng Wang , Vishal Misra

As the COVID-19 outbreak is developing the two most frequently reported statistics seem to be the raw confirmed case and case fatalities counts. Focusing on Italy, one of the hardest hit countries, we look at how these two values could be…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Emanuele Guidotti , Stefano Maria Iacus , Marcin Okrój

The years 2020 and 2021 were characterized by the COVID-19 pandemic. The true impact of the pandemic on populations' health and life still has to be fully discerned. The main objective of this work is to discern the true impact of COVID-19…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-17 Stefano Barone

Based on recent studies, some COVID-19 symptoms can persist for months after infection, leading to what is termed long COVID. Factors such as vaccination timing, patient characteristics, and symptoms during the acute phase of infection may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Milad Leyli-abadi , Jean-Patrick Brunet , Axel Tahmasebimoradi

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

The widely spread CoronaVirus Disease (COVID)-19 is one of the worst infectious disease outbreaks in history and has become an emergency of primary international concern. As the pandemic evolves, academic communities have been actively…

In India the COVID-19 infected population has not yet been accurately established. As always in the early stages of any epidemic, the need to test serious cases first has meant that the population with asymptomatic or mild sub-clinical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-09 Sourendu Gupta , R. Shankar

The severe acute respiratory syndrome COVID-19 has been in the center of the ongoing global health crisis in 2020. The high prevalence of mild cases facilitates sub-notification outside hospital environments and the number of those who are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-26 Gilberto Nakamura , Basil Grammaticos , Christophe Deroulers , Mathilde Badoual

This paper applies multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms to a dataset of de-identified COVID-19 patients provided by the COVID-19 Research Database. The dataset consists of 20,878 COVID-positive patients, among which 9,177 patients died…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Redoan Rahman , Jooyeong Kang , Justin F Rousseau , Ying Ding

Knowing the true effect size of clinical interventions in randomised clinical trials is key to informing the public health policies. Vaccine efficacy is defined in terms of the relative risk or the ratio of two disease risks. However, only…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-03 Yasin Memari

COVID-19 is having a dramatic impact on research and researchers. The pandemic has underlined the severity of known challenges in research and surfaced new ones, but also accelerated the adoption of innovations and manifested new…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Giovanni Colavizza

Objective: To conduct a meta-analysis of current studies that examined sex differences in severity and mortality in patients with COVID-19, and identify potential mechanisms underpinning these differences. Methods: We performed a systematic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-31 Xiyi Wei , Yu-Tian Xiao , Jian Wang , Rui Chen , Wei Zhang , Yue Yang , Daojun Lv , Chao Qin , Di Gu , Bo Zhang , Weidong Chen , Jianquan Hou , Ninghong Song , Guohua Zeng , Shancheng Ren

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has infected more than one million individuals all over the world and caused more than 55,000 deaths, as of April 3 in 2020. Radiological findings are important sources of information in guiding the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Yuxiao Liang , Pengtao Xie

Information of 1.6 million patients identified as SARS-CoV-2 positive in Mexico is used to understand the relationship between comorbidities, symptoms, hospitalizations and deaths due to the COVID-19 disease. Using the presence or absence…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-17 Carlos E. Rodríguez , Ramsés H. Mena

Ivermectin is an antiparasitic drug that some have claimed is an effective treatment for reducing Covid-19 deaths. To test this claim, two recent peer reviewed papers both conducted a meta-analysis on a similar set of randomized controlled…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-04 Martin Neil , Norman Fenton

Are COVID-19 fatalities large when a federal government does not enforce containment policies and instead allow states to implement their own policies? We answer this question by developing a stochastic extension of a SIRD epidemiological…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-16 Jean-Paul Renne , Guillaume Roussellet , Gustavo Schwenkler