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We study financial networks where banks are connected by debt contracts. We consider the operation of debt swapping when two creditor banks decide to exchange an incoming payment obligation, thus leading to a locally different network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-24 Xiaobing Feng , Haibo Hu

Regulation and risk management in banks depend on underlying risk measures. In general this is the only purpose that is seen for risk measures. In this paper we suggest that the reporting of risk measures can be used to determine the loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dominique Gu/'egan , Wayne Tarrant

Complex non-linear interactions between banks and assets we model by two time-dependent Erd\H{o}s Renyi network models where each node, representing bank, can invest either to a single asset (model I) or multiple assets (model II). We use…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 B. Podobnik , D. Horvatic , M. Bertella , L. Feng , X. Huang , B. Li

The conventional wisdom of mean-variance (MV) portfolio theory asserts that the nature of the relationship between risk and diversification is a decreasing asymptotic function, with the asymptote approximating the level of portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-19 Gilles Boevi Koumou

To find a trade-off between profitability and prudence, financial practitioners need to choose appropriate risk measures. Two key points are: Firstly, investors' risk attitudes under uncertainty conditions should be an important reference…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Wentao Hu

Geographic diversification is fundamental to risk mitigation among investors and insurers of housing, mortgages, and mortgage-related derivatives. To characterize diversification potential, we provide estimates of integration, spatial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-03 John Cotter , Stuart Gabriel , Richard Roll

The 2008 financial crisis exposed fundamental vulnerabilities in interconnected banking systems, yet existing frameworks fail to integrate spatial propagation with network contagion mechanisms. This paper develops a unified spatial-network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Tatsuru Kikuchi

Risk control and optimal diversification constitute a major focus in the finance and insurance industries as well as, more or less consciously, in our everyday life. We present a discussion of the characterization of risks and of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Didier Sornette

The benefits of portfolio diversification is a central tenet implicit to modern financial theory and practice. Linked to diversification is the notion of breadth. Breadth is correctly thought of as the number of in- dependent bets available…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-08 Daniel Polakow , Tim Gebbie

Multivariate regular variation plays a role assessing tail risk in diverse applications such as finance, telecommunications, insurance and environmental science. The classical theory, being based on an asymptotic model, sometimes leads to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Bikramjit Das , Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney Resnick

Through a long-period analysis of the inter-temporal relations between the French markets for credit default swaps (CDS), shares and bonds between 2001 and 2008, this article shows how a financial innovation like CDS could heighten…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-23 Nathalie Rey

This paper develops a dynamic monetary model to study the (in)stability of the fractional reserve banking system. The model shows that the fractional reserve banking system can endanger stability in that equilibrium is more prone to exhibit…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-18 Heon Lee

Different models of capital exchange among economic agents have been proposed recently trying to explain the emergence of Pareto's wealth power law distribution. One important factor to be considered is the existence of risk aversion. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. R. Iglesias , S. Goncalves , G. Abramson , J. L. Vega

We introduce diversified risk parity embedded with various reward-risk measures and more generic allocation rules for portfolio construction. We empirically test the proposed reward-risk parity strategies and compare their performance with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Jaehyung Choi , Hyangju Kim , Young Shin Kim

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Radu Tunaru

We present an analytical model to study the role of expectation feedbacks and overlapping portfolios on systemic stability of financial systems. Building on [Corsi et al., 2016], we model a set of financial institutions having Value at Risk…

General Economics · Economics 2018-07-23 Piero Mazzarisi , Fabrizio Lillo , Stefano Marmi
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