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We consider a stochastic model, describing the growth of two competing infections on $\mathbb{R}^d$. The growth takes place by way of spherical outbursts in the infected region, an outburst in the type 1 (2) infected region causing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

Most spreading processes require spatial proximity between agents. The stationary state of spreading dynamics in a population of mobile agents thus depends on the interplay between the time and length scales involved in the epidemic process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Matteo Paoluzzi , Demian Levis , Michele Starnini

Most infectious diseases spread on a dynamic network of human interactions. Recent studies of social dynamics have provided evidence that spreading patterns may depend strongly on detailed micro-dynamics of the social system. We have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-23 Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Sandy Pentland , Sune Lehmann

We consider two approaches to study the spread of infectious diseases within a spatially structured population distributed in social clusters. According whether we consider only the population of infected individuals or both populations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-30 Lamia Belhadji

Traditional epidemic models consider that individual processes occur at constant rates. That is, an infected individual has a constant probability per unit time of recovering from infection after contagion. This assumption certainly fails…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-18 Guillermo Abramson , Sebastian Gonçalves , Marcelo F. C. Gomes

The basic contact process with parameter $\mu$ altered so that infections of sites that have not been previously infected occur at rate proportional to $\lambda$ instead is considered. Emergence of an infinite epidemic starting out from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Achillefs Tzioufas

Different pathogens spreading in the same host population often generate complex co-circulation dynamics because of the many possible interactions between the pathogens and the host immune system, the host life cycle, and the space…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-18 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Ashleigh Van Metre , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

We study the interaction between epidemic spreading and a vaccination process. We assume that, similar to the disease spreading, also the vaccination process occurs through direct contact, i.e., it follows the standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Mozhgan Khanjanianpak , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Claudio Castellano

In the present work, a non-linear stochastic model is presented to study the effect of time variation of transmission rates on the co-evolution of epidemics and its corresponding awareness over a two layered multiplex network. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao , Abhijit Sen

The goal of this work is to understand and quantify how a line with nonlocal diffusion given by an integral enhances a reaction-diffusion process occurring in the surrounding plane. This is part of a long term programme where we aim at…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-01-10 Henri Berestycki , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Luca Rossi

The structure of heterogeneous networks and human mobility patterns profoundly influence the spreading of endemic diseases. In small-scale communities, individuals engage in social interactions within confined environments, such as homes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-20 Yusheng Li , Yichao Yao , Minyu Feng , Tina P. Benko , Matjaž Perc , Jernej Završnik

We study the spread of an infection on top of a moving population. The environment evolves as a zero range process on the integer lattice starting in equilibrium. At time zero, the set of infected particles is composed by those which are on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Rangel Baldasso , Augusto Teixeira

In wildfires, burning pieces of ember-firebrands-are carried downstream by wind. At the time of landing, these firebrands can start secondary fires far away from the main burning unit. This phenomenon is called spotting and the secondary…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-21 Mohammad Farazmand

Nowadays, epidemic models provide an appropriate tool for describing the propagation of biological viruses in human or animal populations, or rumours and other kinds of information in social networks and malware in both computer and ad hoc…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Vladislav Taynitskiy , Elena Gubar , Denis Fedyanin , Ilya Petrov , Quanyan Zhu

This paper introduces a new optimal control model to describe and control the dynamics of infectious diseases. In the present model, the average time of isolation (i.e. hospitalization) of infectious population is the main time-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Robin J. Evans , Musa Mammadov

We study geographical effects on the spread of diseases in lattice-embedded scale-free networks. The geographical structure is represented by the connecting probability of two nodes that is related to the Euclidean distance between them in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Xin-Jian Xu , Zhi-Xi Wu , Guanrong Chen

We examine how the behaviour of high degree vertices in a network affects whether an infection spreads through communities or jumps between them. We study two stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) processes and represent our…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Joshua Feldman , Jeannette Janssen

The design of routing strategies for traffic-driven epidemic spreading has received increasing attention in recent years. In this paper, we propose an adaptive routing strategy that incorporates topological distance with local epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Han-Xin Yang , Zhen Wang

Epidemics of infectious diseases posing a serious risk to human health have occurred throughout history. During recent epidemics there has been much debate about policy, including how and when to impose restrictions on behaviour.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-08 Simon K. Schnyder , John J. Molina , Ryoichi Yamamoto , Matthew S. Turner