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The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

We use cutting-edge mixed integer optimization (MIO) methods to develop a framework for detection and estimation of structural breaks in time series regression models. The framework is constructed based on the least squares problem subject…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-12 Artem Prokhorov , Peter Radchenko , Alexander Semenov , Anton Skrobotov

We study the problem of change point localization in dynamic networks models. We assume that we observe a sequence of independent adjacency matrices of the same size, each corresponding to a realization of an unknown inhomogeneous Bernoulli…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

Modern neural networks, although achieving state-of-the-art results on many tasks, tend to have a large number of parameters, which increases training time and resource usage. This problem can be alleviated by pruning. Existing methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Andrei Apostol , Maarten Stol , Patrick Forré

Binary segmentation is the classic greedy algorithm which recursively splits a sequential data set by optimizing some loss or likelihood function. Binary segmentation is widely used for changepoint detection in data sets measured over space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Toby Dylan Hocking

In this paper, we study the problem of multiple change-point detection for a univariate sequence under the epidemic setting, where the behavior of the sequence alternates between a common normal state and different epidemic states. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Zifeng Zhao , Chun Yip Yau

We propose a new sequential monitoring scheme for changes in the parameters of a multivariate time series. In contrast to procedures proposed in the literature which compare an estimator from the training sample with an estimator calculated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Josua Gösmann , Tobias Kley , Holger Dette

We study the asymptotic behavior of piecewise constant least squares regression estimates, when the number of partitions of the estimate is penalized. We show that the estimator is consistent in the relevant metric if the signal is in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Leif Boysen , Volkmar Liebscher , Axel Munk , Olaf Wittich

Given a source of iid samples of edges of an input graph $G$ with $n$ vertices and $m$ edges, how many samples does one need to compute a constant factor approximation to the maximum matching size in $G$? Moreover, is it possible to obtain…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-15 Michael Kapralov , Slobodan Mitrović , Ashkan Norouzi-Fard , Jakab Tardos

This paper presents a new approach to solve linear and nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) problems that requires small memory footprint and throughput and is particularly suitable when the model and/or controller parameters change at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-25 Nilay Saraf , Alberto Bemporad

To estimate the smoothing distribution in a nonlinear state space model, we apply the conditional particle filter with ancestor sampling. This gives an iterative algorithm in a Markov chain Monte Carlo fashion, with asymptotic convergence…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Manon Kok

We propose a computationally and statistically efficient procedure for segmenting univariate data under piecewise linearity. The proposed moving sum (MOSUM) methodology detects multiple change points where the underlying signal undergoes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Joonpyo Kim , Hee-Seok Oh , Haeran Cho

This paper studies chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems with finite support. It presents an iterative method that solves reduced-size chance-constrained models obtained by partitioning the scenario set. Each reduced problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Marius Roland , Alexandre Forel , Thibaut Vidal

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$) methods can be used for parameter inference of intractable likelihood state-space models. These methods replace the likelihood with an unbiased particle filter estimator, similarly to particle Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

Phase retrieval arises in various fields of science and engineering and it is well studied in a finite-dimensional setting. In this paper, we consider an infinite-dimensional phase retrieval problem to reconstruct real-valued signals living…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-07 Yang Chen , Cheng Cheng , Qiyu Sun , Haichao Wang

Due to the increasing complexity and interconnectedness of different components in modern automotive software systems there is a great number of interactions between these system components and their environment. These interactions result…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Bojan Lukić , Thorben Knust , Andreas Rausch

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

We study the fixed design segmented regression problem: Given noisy samples from a piecewise linear function $f$, we want to recover $f$ up to a desired accuracy in mean-squared error. Previous rigorous approaches for this problem rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Jayadev Acharya , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jerry Li , Ludwig Schmidt

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta