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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a formalism to quantify and calibrate uncertainty in deep learning. Current inference approaches for BNNs often resort to few-sample estimation for scalability, which can harm predictive performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Zhe Zeng , Guy Van den Broeck

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

In this work, we investigate the value of uncertainty modeling in 3D super-resolution with convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Deep learning has shown success in a plethora of medical image transformation problems, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-31 Ryutaro Tanno , Daniel E. Worrall , Aurobrata Ghosh , Enrico Kaden , Stamatios N. Sotiropoulos , Antonio Criminisi , Daniel C. Alexander

Predictive uncertainty quantification is crucial for reliable decision-making in various applied domains. Bayesian neural networks offer a powerful framework for this task. However, defining meaningful priors and ensuring computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Yijia Liu , Xiao Wang

Variational mean field approximations tend to struggle with contemporary overparametrized deep neural networks. Where a Bayesian treatment is usually associated with high-quality predictions and uncertainties, the practical reality has been…

We parameterize sub-grid scale (SGS) fluxes in sinusoidally forced two-dimensional turbulence on the $\beta$-plane at high Reynolds numbers (Re$\sim$25000) using simple 2-layer Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) having only…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-12 Kaushik Srinivasan , Mickael D. Chekroun , James C. McWilliams

interpretable, and well understood models that are routinely employed even though, as is revealed through prior and posterior predictive checks, these can poorly characterise the spatial heterogeneity in the underlying process of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael D. Kaminski , Ba-Hien Tran , Maurizio Filippone , Noel Cressie

Convolutional sparse coding (CSC) can learn representative shift-invariant patterns from multiple kinds of data. However, existing CSC methods can only model noises from Gaussian distribution, which is restrictive and unrealistic. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Yaqing Wang , James T. Kwok , Lionel M. Ni

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) are a commonly used architecture for temporal video segmentation. TCNs however, tend to suffer from over-segmentation errors and require additional refinement modules to ensure smoothness and temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Dipika Singhania , Rahul Rahaman , Angela Yao

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is the task of estimating the probability of an event conditioned on some inputs. A neural network (NN) can also be used to compute the output distribution for continuous-domain, which can be viewed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Bing Chen , Mazharul Islam , Jisuo Gao , Lin Wang

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

This paper introduces an adaptive convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture capable of automating various topology optimization (TO) problems with diverse underlying physics. The proposed architecture has an encoder-decoder-type…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Khaish Singh Chadha , Prabhat Kumar

We present an econometric framework that adapts tools for scenario analysis, such as variants of conditional forecasts and generalized impulse responses, for use with dynamic nonparametric models. The proposed algorithms are based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

Recent advances in deep learning have had a methodological and practical impact on brain-computer interface research. Among the various deep network architectures, convolutional neural networks have been well suited for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-06 Wonjun Ko , Eunjin Jeon , Seungwoo Jeong , Heung-Il Suk

The availability of data from multiple heterogeneous environments has motivated methods that remain reliable under distributional shifts. When the joint distribution of response and predictors varies across environments, the response may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Ruqian Zhang , Juan Shen , Yijiao Zhang

We investigate uncertainty estimation and multimodality via the non-deterministic predictions of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) in fluid simulations. To this end, we deploy BNNs in three challenging experimental test-cases of increasing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-04 Maximilian Mueller , Robin Greif , Frank Jenko , Nils Thuerey

There is an increasing recognition of the role of brain networks as neuroimaging biomarkers in mental health and psychiatric studies. Our focus is posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), where the brain network interacts with environmental…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Xin Ma , Suprateek Kundu , Jennifer Stevens

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

In this work, we propose a parameter estimation framework for fracture propagation problems. The fracture problem is described by a phase-field method. Parameter estimation is realized with a Bayesian framework. Here, the focus is on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Amirreza Khodadadian , Nima Noii , Maryam Parvizi , Mostafa Abbaszadeh , Thomas Wick , Clemens Heitzinger