Related papers: The Evolution of Dynamic Gaussian Process Model wi…
We investigate a machine learning approach to option Greeks approximation based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogates. The method takes in noisily observed option prices, fits a nonparametric input-output map and then analytically…
Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…
The recent development of statistical methods that can distinguish between stellar activity and dynamical signals in radial velocity (RV) observations has facilitated the discovery and characterization of planets orbiting young stars. One…
In many clinical trials treatments need to be repeatedly applied as diseases relapse frequently after remission over a long period of time (e.g., 35 weeks). Most research in statistics focuses on the overall trial design, such as sample…
Safety is a critical issue in learning-based robotic and autonomous systems as learned information about their environments is often unreliable and inaccurate. In this paper, we propose a risk-aware motion control tool that is robust…
Geostatistics is a branch of statistics concerned with stochastic processes over continuous domains, with Gaussian processes (GPs) providing a flexible and principled modelling framework. However, the high computational cost of simulating…
Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems, so called recurrent models are frequently used. In this paper…
Geostatistical analysis of health data is increasingly used to model spatial variation in malaria prevalence, burden, and other metrics. Traditional inference methods for geostatistical modelling are notoriously computationally intensive,…
We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…
This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…
Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…
Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error…
This paper presents a solution for persistent monitoring of real-world stochastic phenomena, where the underlying covariance structure changes sharply across time, using a small number of mobile robot sensors. We propose an adaptive…
Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to…
Gaussian processes (GP) are Bayesian non-parametric models that are widely used for probabilistic regression. Unfortunately, it cannot scale well with large data nor perform real-time predictions due to its cubic time cost in the data size.…
Gaussian processes (GP) are Bayesian non-parametric models that are widely used for probabilistic regression. Unfortunately, it cannot scale well with large data nor perform real-time predictions due to its cubic time cost in the data size.…
Solving hydrologic inverse problems usually requires repetitive forward simulations. One approach to mitigate the computational cost is to build a surrogate model, i.e., an approximate mapping from model parameters (input) to observable…
This paper presents a probabilistic surrogate model for the accelerated design of electric vehicle battery enclosures with a focus on crash performance. The study integrates high-throughput finite element simulations and Gaussian Process…
While a typical supervised learning framework assumes that the inputs and the outputs are measured at the same levels of granularity, many applications, including global mapping of disease, only have access to outputs at a much coarser…
The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…