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This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

We consider a population of Hawkes processes modeling the activity of $N$ interacting neurons. The neurons are regularly positioned on the segment $[0,1]$, and the connectivity between neurons is given by a random possibly diluted and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Zoé Agathe-Nerine

Active tissues exhibit tension fluctuations that are correlated in space and time. We study a minimal overdamped surface model in which such fluctuations enter as a zero-mean, multiplicative modulation of the local surface tension. Although…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-02 Matteo Ciarchi , Andriy Goychuk , Erwin Frey

The aim of this work is to introduce a new stochastic volatility model for equity derivatives. To overcome some of the well-known problems of the Heston model, and more generally of the affine models, we define a new specification for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-19 José Da Fonseca , Claude Martini

The characterization of the wetting on superhydrophobic surfaces is rather complex. Usual contact angle experiments are difficult to perform and the lateral movement of droplets as well as the pinning at point defects on the surface can…

In this paper, we study the relationship between the short-end of the local and the implied volatility surfaces. Our results, based on Malliavin calculus techniques, recover the recent $\frac{1}{H+3/2}$ rule (where $H$ denotes the Hurst…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-18 Elisa Alòs , David García-Lorite , Makar Pravosud

The influence of rough surfaces on fluid flow is characterized by the downward shift in the logarithmic layer of velocity and temperature profiles, namely the velocity roughness function $\Delta U^+$ and the corresponding temperature…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-20 Simon Dalpke , Jiasheng Yang , Pourya Forooghi , Bettina Frohnapfel , Alexander Stroh

The classic evolution equations for potential flow on the free surface of a fluid flow are not closed because the pressure and the vertical velocity dynamics are not specified on the free surface. Moreover, their wave dynamics does not…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-16 Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Oliver D. Street

Dynamics of linear perturbations in a differentially rotating accretion disk with non-homogeneous vertical structure is investigated. It has been found that turbulent viscosity results in instability of both pinching oscillations, and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. V. Khoperskov , S. S. Khrapov

Soft solids with surface energy exhibit complex mechanical behavior, necessitating advanced constitutive models to capture the interplay between bulk and surface mechanics. This interplay has profound implications for material design and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-12 Martin Horák , Michal Šmejkal , Martin Kružík

This paper extends the existing fractional Hawkes process to better model mainshock-aftershock sequences of earthquakes. The fractional Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process model with temporal decay kernel being a Mittag-Leffler…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

We consider the problem of unveiling the implicit network structure of node interactions (such as user interactions in a social network), based only on high-frequency timestamps. Our inference is based on the minimization of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Emmanuel Bacry , Martin Bompaire , Stéphane Gaïffas , Jean-François Muzy

Using recent advances in the econometrics literature, we disentangle from high frequency observations on the transaction prices of a large sample of NYSE stocks a fundamental component and a microstructure noise component. We then relate…

Applications · Statistics 2009-06-11 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jialin Yu

In this study, we constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data and used the VAR method to attempt to predict the next day's implied volatility surface. We utilized 630,000 text data entries from the East Money Stock Forum from 2014 to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiahao Weng , Yan Xie

In the hierarchical search for periodic sources of gravitational waves, the candidate selection, in the incoherent step, can be performed with Hough transform procedures. In this paper we analyze the problem of sensitivity loss due to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 F. Antonucci , P. Astone , S. D' Antonio , S. Frasca , C. Palomba

No surface is perfectly planar at all scales. The notion of flatness of a surface therefore depends on the size of the probe used to observe it. As a consequence rough interfaces are abundant in nature. Here the old, but still active field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ingve Simonsen

We study the effect of surface scattering on transport properties in many-mode conducting channels (electron waveguides). Assuming a strong roughness of the surface profiles, we show that there are two independent control parameters that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 F. M. Izrailev , N. M. Makarov , M. Rendon

When a vortex refracts surface waves, the momentum flux carried by the waves changes direction and the waves induce a reaction force on the vortex. We study experimentally the resulting vortex distortion. Incoming surface gravity waves…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-27 T. Humbert , S. Aumaître , B. Gallet

A theoretical justification of the empirical surface hopping method for the laser-driven molecular dynamics is given utilizing the formalism of the exact factorization of the molecular wavefunction [Abedi et al., PRL $\textbf{105}$, 123002…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-07-05 T. Fiedlschuster , J. Handt , E. K. U. Gross , R. Schmidt

An isotropic elastic half space is prestrained so that two of the principal axes of strain lie in the bounding plane, which itself remains free of traction. The material is subject to an isotropic constraint of arbitrary nature. A surface…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-04-26 Michel Destrade , Nigel H. Scott