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We describe a model for evolving commodity forward prices that incorporates three important dynamics which appear in many commodity markets: mean reversion in spot prices and the resulting Samuelson effect on volatility term structure,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Mark Higgins

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We study a portfolio management problem featuring many-player and mean field competition, investment and consumption, and relative performance concerns under the forward performance processes (FPP) framework. We focus on agents using power…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-07 Goncalo dos Reis , Vadim Platonov

We consider controller-stopper problems in which the controlled processes can have jumps. The global filtration is represented by the Brownian filtration, enlarged by the filtration generated by the jump process. We assume that there exists…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian , Ercan Sönmez

Affine processes play an important role in mathematical finance and other applied areas due to their tractable structure. In the present article, we derive probabilistic representations and integration by parts (IBP) formulas for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Yuma Tamura

In this paper we consider a new mathematical extension of the Black-Scholes model in which the stochastic time and stock share price evolution is described by two independent random processes. The parent process is Brownian, and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

The connection between forward backward doubly stochastic differential equations and the optimal filtering problem is established without using the Zakai's equation. The solutions of forward backward doubly stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , Xiaoping Han

We consider a real options model for the optimal irreversible investment problem of a profit maximizing company. The company has the opportunity to invest into a production plant capable of producing two products, of which the prices follow…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-09 Felix Dammann , Giorgio Ferrari

This study provides the solution to the equity premium puzzle. The new model was developed by including the behavior of investors toward risk in financial markets in prior studies. The calculations of this newly tested model show that the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Atilla Aras

We consider the class of simple Brown-Resnick max-stable processes whose spectral processes are continuous exponential martingales. We develop the asymptotic theory for the realized power variations of these max-stable processes, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Christian Y. Robert

Obtaining reliable estimates of conditional covariance matrices is an important task of heteroskedastic multivariate time series. In portfolio optimization and financial risk management, it is crucial to provide measures of uncertainty and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

In this thesis, we develop analytical methods to study out-of-equilibrium stochastic processes driven by colored noise, i.e., noise with temporal correlations. These non-Markovian processes pose significant analytical challenges compared to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-07 Mathis Guéneau

Recent studies have identified long-range dependence as a key feature in the dynamics of both mortality and interest rates. Building on this insight, we develop a novel bi-variate stochastic framework based on mixed fractional Brownian…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Kenneth Q. Zhou , Hongjuan Zhou

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

Existence of stochastic financial equilibria giving rise to semimartingale asset prices is established under a general class of assumptions. These equilibria are expressed in real terms and span complete markets or markets with withdrawal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gordan Zitkovic

We survey some new progress on the pricing models driven by fractional Brownian motion \cb{or} mixed fractional Brownian motion. In particular, we give results on arbitrage opportunities, hedging, and option pricing in these models. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-20 Christian Bender , Tommi Sottinen , Esko Valkeila

We consider an investor faced with the utility maximization problem in which the risky asset price process has pure-jump dynamics affected by an unobservable continuous-time finite-state Markov chain, the intensity of which can also be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-13 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

In this article, variational state estimation is examined from the dynamic programming perspective. This leads to two different value functional recursions depending on whether backward or forward dynamic programming is employed. The result…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Filip Tronarp
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