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Consider a branching process with a homogeneous reproduction law. Sampling a single cell uniformly from the population at a time $T > 0$ and looking along the sampled cell's ancestral lineage, we find that the reproduction law is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-30 David Cheek , Samuel G. G. Johnston

In population genetics, extant samples are usually used for inference of past population genetic forces. With the Kingman coalescent and the backward diffusion equation, inference of the marginal likelihood proceeds from an extant sample…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer

We consider a dynamic metapopulation involving one large population of size N surrounded by colonies of size \varepsilon_NN, usually called peripheral isolates in ecology, where N\to\infty and \varepsilon_N\to 0 in such a way that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Amaury Lambert , Chunhua Ma

We derive the asymptotic distribution of the total length $L_n$ of a $\operatorname {Beta}(2-\alpha,\alpha)$-coalescent tree for $1<\alpha<2$, starting from $n$ individuals. There are two regimes: If $\alpha\le1/2(1+\sqrt{5})$, then $L_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-22 Götz Kersting

We consider a one-dimensional dyadic branching Brownian motion on $\mathbb{R}$ with positive drift $\beta \in (0,1)$, branching rate $1/2$, reflected at $0$ and killed at a boundary $L > 0$. The killing boundary $L$ is chosen so that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Florin Boenkost , Julie Tourniaire

We propose a new perspective on the asymptotic regimes of fast and slow extinction in the contact process on locally converging sequences of sparse finite graphs. We characterise the phase boundary by the existence of a metastable density,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

Kingman's coalescent is a random tree that arises from classical population genetic models such as the Moran model. The individuals alive in these models correspond to the leaves in the tree and the following two laws of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Andrej Depperschmidt , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Annika Scheuringer

Consider two ancestral lineages sampled from a system of two-dimensional branching random walks with logistic regulation in the stationary regime. We study the asymptotics of their coalescence time for large initial separation and find that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

We consider a neutral dynamical model of biological diversity, where individuals live and reproduce independently. They have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-06 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We consider a continuous population whose dynamics is described by the standard stationary Fleming-Viot process, so that the genealogy of $n$ uniformly sampled individuals is distributed as the Kingman $n$-coalescent. In this note, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider the Moran model of population genetics with two types, mutation, and selection, and investigate the line of descent of a randomly-sampled individual from a contemporary population. We trace this ancestral line back into the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Ellen Baake , Enrico Di Gaspero , Fernando Cordero

We investigate the genealogy of a sample of $k\geq1$ particles chosen uniformly without replacement from a population alive at large times in a critical discrete-time Galton-Watson process in a varying environment (GWVE). We will show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Simon C. Harris , Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

We consider an extension of the noisy $N$-Branching Random Walk that models the evolution of a population subject to natural selection. We show the existence of a critical value for the noise which separates the limiting genealogical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-17 Emmanuel Schertzer , Alejandro H. Wences

The probability that two randomly selected phylogenetic trees of the same size are isomorphic is found to be asymptotic to a decreasing exponential modulated by a polynomial factor. The number of symmetrical nodes in a random phylogenetic…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-07 Miklos Bona , Philippe Flajolet

Changes in population size influence genetic diversity of the population and, as a result, leave a signature of these changes in individual genomes in the population. We are interested in the inverse problem of reconstructing past…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Julia A. Palacios , Vladimir N. Minin

We consider a natural model of inhomogeneous random graphs that extends the classical Erd\H os-R\'enyi graphs and shares a close connection with the multiplicative coalescence, as pointed out by Aldous [AOP 1997]. In this model, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Nicolas Broutin , Thomas Duquesne , Minmin Wang

Kingman Coalescent was first proposed by Kingman [7] in population genetics to describe population's genealogical structure. Now it becomes a bench-mark model for coalescent process. Extensive studies have been conducted on Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Youzhou Zhou

We introduce a new oriented evolving graph model inspired by biological networks. A node is added at each time step and is connected to the rest of the graph by random oriented edges emerging from older nodes. This leads to a statistical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-04-10 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard

We consider a model of a population in which individuals are sampled from different species. The Yule-Kingman nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Toni Gui

To understand the effect of assortative mating on the genetic evolution of a population, we consider a finite population in which each individual has a type, determined by a sequence of n diallelic loci. We assume that the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Alison M. Etheridge , Sophie Lemaire