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The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

We study the common ancestor type distribution in a $2$-type Moran model with population size $N$, mutation and selection, and in the deterministic limit regime arising in the former when $N$ tends to infinity, without any rescaling of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fernando Cordero

Interacting particle systems undergoing repeated mutation and selection steps model genetic evolution, and also describe a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo methods. The genealogical tree embedded into the system is important in both…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Suzie Brown , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Jere Koskela

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree. If the system survives until a large time $T$, then choose $k$ particles uniformly from those alive. What does the ancestral tree drawn out by these $k$ particles look like? Some special cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Matthew I. Roberts

The classical model for the genealogies of a neutrally evolving population in a fixed environment is due to Kingman. Kingman's coalescent process, which produces a binary tree, universally emerges from many microscopic models in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ethan Levien

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

The nested Kingman coalescent describes the ancestral tree of a population undergoing neutral evolution at the level of individuals and at the level of species, simultaneously. We study the speed at which the number of lineages descends…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Airam Blancas Benítez , Tim Rogers , Jason Schweinsberg , Arno Siri-Jégousse

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt

The evolving Kingman coalescent is the tree-valued process which records the time evolution undergone by the genealogies of Moran populations. We consider the associated process of total external tree length of the evolving Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Iulia Dahmer , Götz Kersting

We study ancestral structures for the two-type Moran model with mutation and frequency-dependent selection under the nonlinear dominance or fittest-type-wins scheme. Under appropriate conditions, both lead, in distribution, to the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-12 Ellen Baake , Luigi Esercito , Sebastian Hummel

The Kingman coalescent is a fundamental process in population genetics modelling the ancestry of a sample of individuals backwards in time. In this paper, in a large-sample-size regime, we study asymptotic properties of the coalescent under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

Consider the Markov process taking values in the partitions of N such that each pair of blocks merges at rate one, and each integer is eroded, i.e., becomes a singleton block, at rate d. This is a special case of exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

This article considers a model of genealogy corresponding to a regular exchangeable coalescent (also known as Xi-coalescent) started from a large finite configuration, and undergoing neutral mutations. Asymptotic expressions for the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-04 Vlada Limic

We investigate the infinitely many demes limit of the genealogy of a sample of individuals from a subdivided population subject to sporadic mass extinction events. By exploiting a separation of timescales property of Wright's island model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jesse E. Taylor , Amandine Veber

A well-established model for the genealogy of a large population in equilibrium is Kingman's coalescent. For the population together with its genealogy evolving in time, this gives rise to a time-stationary tree-valued process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger , Heinz Weisshaupt

In the case of neutral populations of fixed sizes in equilibrium whose genealogies are described by the Kingman $N$-coalescent back from time $t$ consider the associated processes of total tree length as $t$ increases. We show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Iulia Dahmer , Robert Knobloch , Anton Wakolbinger

Consider a population where individuals give birth at constant rate during their lifetimes to i.i.d. copies of themselves. Individuals bear clonally inherited types, but (neutral) mutations may happen at the birth events. The smallest…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Cécile Delaporte

Consider a two-type Moran population of size $N$ with selection and mutation, where the selective advantage of the fit individuals is amplified at extreme environmental conditions. Assume selection and mutation are weak with respect to $N$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Grégoire Véchambre
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