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In this paper, we propose a probabilistic reduced-dimensional vector autoregressive (PredVAR) model with oblique projections. This model partitions the measurement space into a dynamic subspace and a static subspace that do not need to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Yanfang Mo , Jiaxin Yu , S. Joe Qin

We introduce the localized Lasso, which is suited for learning models that are both interpretable and have a high predictive power in problems with high dimensionality $d$ and small sample size $n$. More specifically, we consider a function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-17 Makoto Yamada , Koh Takeuchi , Tomoharu Iwata , John Shawe-Taylor , Samuel Kaski

Many theoretical results for the lasso require the samples to be iid. Recent work has provided guarantees for the lasso assuming that the time series is generated by a sparse Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model with Gaussian innovations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Kam Chung Wong , Zifan Li , Ambuj Tewari

Spatiotemporal traffic time series (e.g., traffic volume/speed) collected from sensing systems are often incomplete with considerable corruption and large amounts of missing values, preventing users from harnessing the full power of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xinyu Chen , Mengying Lei , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

We present the R-package mgm for the estimation of k-order Mixed Graphical Models (MGMs) and mixed Vector Autoregressive (mVAR) models in high-dimensional data. These are a useful extensions of graphical models for only one variable type,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-13 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression (GTWR) model is an important local technique for exploring spatial heterogeneity in data relationships, as well as temporal dependence due to its high fitting capacity when it comes to real…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-21 Héctor Araya , Lisandro Fermín , Silfrido Gómez , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

Sparse regularization plays a central role in solving inverse problems arising from incomplete or corrupted measurements. Different regularizers correspond to different prior assumptions about the structure of the unknown signal, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-16 Kanghun Lee , Hyungjoon Soh , Junghyo Jo

Estimating covariance parameters for multivariate spatial Gaussian random fields is computationally challenging, as the number of parameters grows rapidly with the number of variables, and likelihood evaluation requires operations of order…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Gabriel Riffo , Xavier Emery

We consider a high-dimensional model in which variables are observed over time and space. The model consists of a spatio-temporal regression containing a time lag and a spatial lag of the dependent variable. Unlike classical spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-03 Hanno Reuvers , Etienne Wijler

Visual anomaly detection is common in several applications including medical screening and production quality check. Although a definition of the anomaly is an unknown trend in data, in many cases some hints or samples of the anomaly class…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-29 Daiki Kimura , Minori Narita , Asim Munawar , Ryuki Tachibana

Appropriate models for spatially autocorrelated data account for the fact that observations are not independent. A popular model in this context is the simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model that allows to model the spatial dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 A. Kreuzer , T. Erhardt , T. Nagler , C. Czado

Total variation regularization based on the l1 norm is ubiquitous in image reconstruction. However, the resulting reconstructions are not always as sparse in the edge domain as desired. Iteratively reweighted methods provide some…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-01 Victor Churchill , Rick Archibald , Anne Gelb

In the field of statistical learning and data analysis, estimating precision matrices (i.e., the inverse of covariance matrices) is a critical task, particularly for understanding dependency structures among variables. However, traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Zhongfeng Qin , Hao Xu , Wenhao Cui , Wan Tian

A factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model is defined by a VAR equation that captures lead-lag correlations amongst a set of observed variables $X$ and latent factors $F$, and a calibration equation that relates another set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

One popular approach for nonstructural economic and financial forecasting is to include a large number of economic and financial variables, which has been shown to lead to significant improvements for forecasting, for example, by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-21 Song Song , Peter J. Bickel

High dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models require a large number of parameters to be estimated and may suffer of inferential problems. We propose a new Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) Lasso prior (BNP-Lasso) for high-dimensional VAR…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Luca Rossini

Vector autoregression (VAR) models are widely used to analyze the interrelationship between multiple variables over time. Estimation and inference for the transition matrices of VAR models are crucial for practitioners to make decisions in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

By treating intervals as inseparable sets, this paper proposes sparse machine learning regressions for high-dimensional interval-valued time series. With LASSO or adaptive LASSO techniques, we develop a penalized minimum distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-15 Haowen Bao , Yongmiao Hong , Yuying Sun , Shouyang Wang

We propose a parsimonious spatiotemporal model for time series data on a spatial grid. Our model is capable of dealing with high-dimensional time series data that may be collected at hundreds of locations and capturing the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Yuan Yan , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Marc G. Genton