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Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables (BNN+LVs) capture predictive uncertainty by explicitly modeling model uncertainty (via priors on network weights) and environmental stochasticity (via a latent input noise variable). In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Yaniv Yacoby , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Under the Bayesian brain hypothesis, behavioural variations can be attributed to different priors over generative model parameters. This provides a formal explanation for why individuals exhibit inconsistent behavioural preferences when…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-13 Noor Sajid , Francesco Faccio , Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr , Jürgen Schmidhuber , Karl Friston

Brownian motion is widely used as a paradigmatic model of diffusion in equilibrium media throughout the physical, chemical, and biological sciences. However, many real world systems, particularly biological ones, are intrinsically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-04 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Tomohiko G. Sano , Andrea Cairoli , Adrian Baule

Interactions among individuals in natural populations often occur in a dynamically changing environment. Understanding the role of environmental variation in population dynamics has long been a central topic in theoretical ecology and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Feng Huang , Ming Cao , Long Wang

Motivated by studies on the recurrent properties of animal and human mobility, we introduce a path-dependent random walk model with long range memory for which not only the mean square displacement (MSD) can be obtained exactly in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 D. Boyer , J. C. R. Romo-Cruz

Adaptive behavior emerges through a dynamic interaction between cognitive agents and changing environmental demands. The investigation of information processing underlying adaptive behavior relies on controlled experimental settings in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-30 Marco D'Alessandro , Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Luigi Lombardi

Discovering causal relationships is a hard task, often hindered by the need for intervention, and often requiring large amounts of data to resolve statistical uncertainty. However, humans quickly arrive at useful causal relationships. One…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-01 Pedro A. Ortega

Non-Bayesian social learning theory provides a framework for distributed inference of a group of agents interacting over a social network by sequentially communicating and updating beliefs about the unknown state of the world through…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-25 James Z. Hare , Cesar Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

Many multi-agent interaction scenarios can be naturally modeled as noncooperative games, where each agent's decisions depend on others' future actions. However, deploying game-theoretic planners for autonomous decision-making requires a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Yash Jain , Xinjie Liu , Lasse Peters , David Fridovich-Keil , Ufuk Topcu

Recent analysis of empirical data [F. Radicchi, A. Baronchelli & L.A.N. Amaral. PloS ONE 7, e029910 (2012)] showed that humans adopt L\'evy flight strategies when exploring the bid space in on-line auctions. A game theoretical model proved…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-21 Filippo Radicchi , Andrea Baronchelli

Consider a one dimensional simple random walk $X=(X_n)_{n\geq0}$. We form a new simple symmetric random walk $Y=(Y_n)_{n\geq0}$ by taking sums of products of the increments of $X$ and study the two-dimensional walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Meng Shi

The idea that the brain is a probabilistic (Bayesian) inference machine, continuously trying to figure out the hidden causes of its inputs, has become very influential in cognitive (neuro)science over recent decades. Here I present a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-15 Eelke Spaak

This work investigates the case of a network of agents that attempt to learn some unknown state of the world amongst the finitely many possibilities. At each time step, agents all receive random, independently distributed private signals…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-29 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

Contextual policy search allows adapting robotic movement primitives to different situations. For instance, a locomotion primitive might be adapted to different terrain inclinations or desired walking speeds. Such an adaptation is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Jan Hendrik Metzen

We demonstrate the phenomenon of cumulative inertia in intracellular transport involving multiple motor proteins in human epithelial cells by measuring the empirical survival probability of cargoes on the microtubule and their detachment…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-31 Sergei Fedotov , Nickolay Korabel , Thomas A. Waigh , Daniel Han , Victoria J. Allan

Ecologists are increasingly expected to inform management decisions under uncertainty, yet most analytical workflows stop at statistical inference. This disconnect limits the practical impact of ecological modelling, particularly in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-12 Olivier Gimenez , Abby Keller , Cyril Milleret

A biological competition model where the individuals of the same species perform a two-dimensional Markovian continuous-time random walk and undergo reproduction and death is studied. The competition is introduced through the assumption…

Biological Physics · Physics 2011-08-31 E. Heinsalu , E. Hernandez-Garcia , C. Lopez

Self-interacting random walks are endowed with long range memory effects that emerge from the interaction of the random walker at time $t$ with the territory that it has visited at earlier times $t'<t$. This class of non Markovian random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-28 Alex Barbier--Chebbah , Olivier Benichou , Raphael Voituriez

Metacognition -- assessing the quality of one's own cognitive performance -- guides adaptive behavior across species. Substantial research demonstrates that confidence signals can be extracted from language model outputs, yet a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Dharshan Kumaran , Nathaniel Daw , Simon Osindero , Petar Veličković , Viorica Patraucean

This paper studies a class of enhanced diffusion processes in which random walkers perform L\'evy flights and apply it for global optimization. L\'evy flights offer controlled balance between exploitation and exploration. We develop four…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-07-23 Truyen Tran , Trung Thanh Nguyen , Hoang Linh Nguyen