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Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker

Exposure to crime and violence can harm individuals' quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Yuting Sun , Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin

Crime prediction is a widely studied research problem due to its importance in ensuring safety of city dwellers. Starting from statistical and classical machine learning based crime prediction methods, in recent years researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Rittik Basak Utsha , Muhtasim Noor Alif , Yeasir Rayhan , Tanzima Hashem , Mohammad Eunus Ali

Predicting crimes in urban environments is crucial for public safety, yet existing prediction methods often struggle to align the knowledge across diverse cities that vary dramatically in data availability of specific crime types. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Fidan Karimova , Tong Chen , Yu Yang , Shazia Sadiq

In this paper, we address the "black-box" problem in predictive process analytics by building interpretable models that are capable to inform both what and why is a prediction. Predictive process analytics is a newly emerged discipline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Bemali Wickramanayake , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira , Yue Xu , Renuka Sindhgatta

While predictive policing has become increasingly common in assisting with decisions in the criminal justice system, the use of these results is still controversial. Some software based on deep learning lacks accuracy (e.g., in F-1), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Abdul Rafae Khan , Jia Xu , Peter Varsanyi , Rachit Pabreja

Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

This study uses deep-learning models to predict city partition crime counts on specific days. It helps police enhance surveillance, gather intelligence, and proactively prevent crimes. We formulate crime count prediction as a spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Li Mao , Wei Du , Shuo Wen , Qi Li , Tong Zhang , Wei Zhong

A wide variety of model explanation approaches have been proposed in recent years, all guided by very different rationales and heuristics. In this paper, we take a new route and cast interpretability as a statistical inference problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Hugo Henri Joseph Senetaire , Damien Garreau , Jes Frellsen , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei

The problem of forecasting spatiotemporal events such as crimes and accidents is crucial to public safety and city management. Besides accuracy, interpretability is also a key requirement for spatiotemporal forecasting models to justify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Zirui Zhou , Ronilo Ragodos , Zenglin Xu , Jun Luo

Crime prediction is crucial for public safety and resource optimization, yet is very challenging due to two aspects: i) the dynamics of criminal patterns across time and space, crime events are distributed unevenly on both spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Xiyue Zhang , Tianyi Chen

Persistent monitoring of a spatiotemporal fluid process requires data sampling and predictive modeling of the process being monitored. In this paper we present PASST algorithm: Predictive-model based Adaptive Sampling of a Spatio-Temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Sandeep Manjanna , Tom Z. Jiahao , M. Ani Hsieh

To plan safe maneuvers and act with foresight, autonomous vehicles must be capable of accurately predicting the uncertain future. In the context of autonomous driving, deep neural networks have been successfully applied to learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Salar Arbabi , Davide Tavernini , Saber Fallah , Richard Bowden

Although neural networks have seen tremendous success as predictive models in a variety of domains, they can be overly confident in their predictions on out-of-distribution (OOD) data. To be viable for safety-critical applications, like…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Masha Itkina , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Understanding and predicting the duration or "return-to-normal" time of traffic incidents is important for system-level management and optimisation of road transportation networks. Increasing real-time availability of multiple data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-18 Kieran Kalair , Colm Connaughton

Machine learning has shown much promise in helping improve the quality of medical, legal, and financial decision-making. In these applications, machine learning models must satisfy two important criteria: (i) they must be causal, since the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Carolyn Kim , Osbert Bastani

In this paper, we address the critical need for interpretable and uncertainty-aware machine learning models in the context of online learning for high-risk industries, particularly cyber-security. While deep learning and other complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Benjamin Kolicic , Alberto Caron , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis

Predicting crime hotspots in a city is a complex and critical task with significant societal implications. Numerous spatiotemporal correlations and irregularities pose substantial challenges to this endeavor. Existing methods commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Jiahui Jin , Yi Hong , Guandong Xu , Jinghui Zhang , Jun Tang , Hancheng Wang

Modern statistical learning techniques have often emphasized prediction performance over interpretability, giving rise to "black box" models that may be difficult to understand, and to generalize to other settings. We conceptually divide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-16 Wenjia Wang , Yi-Hui Zhou
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