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We study optimal procedures for estimating a linear functional based on observational data. In many problems of this kind, a widely used assumption is strict overlap, i.e., uniform boundedness of the importance ratio, which measures how…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

Precise asymptotics have revealed many surprises in high-dimensional regression. These advances, however, have not extended to perhaps the simplest estimator: direct Nadaraya-Watson (NW) kernel smoothing. Here, we describe how one can use…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-23 Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

We prove statistical rates of convergence for kernel-based least squares regression from i.i.d. data using a conjugate gradient algorithm, where regularization against overfitting is obtained by early stopping. This method is related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Krämer

This paper provides the theory about the convergence rate of the tilted version of linear smoother. We study tilted linear smoother, a nonparametric regression function estimator, which is obtained by minimizing the distance to an infinite…

The main purpose is to estimate the regression function of a real random variable with functional explanatory variable by using a recursive nonparametric kernel approach. The mean square error and the almost sure convergence of a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Aboubacar Amiri , Christophe Crambes , Baba Thiam

We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov

We propose a nonparametric quantile regression method using deep neural networks with a rectified linear unit penalty function to avoid quantile crossing. This penalty function is computationally feasible for enforcing non-crossing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Wenlu Tang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

In nonparametric regression analysis, errors are possibly correlated in practice, and neglecting error correlation can undermine most bandwidth selection methods. When no prior knowledge or parametric form of the correlation structure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Sisheng Liu , Xiaoli Kong

This paper studies the problem of nonparametric estimation of a smooth function with data distributed across multiple machines. We assume an independent sample from a white noise model is collected at each machine, and an estimator of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

Accurate quantification of uncertainty is crucial for real-world applications of machine learning. However, modern deep neural networks still produce unreliable predictive uncertainty, often yielding over-confident predictions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Quantile regression is the task of estimating a specified percentile response, such as the median, from a collection of known covariates. We study quantile regression with rectified linear unit (ReLU) neural networks as the chosen model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Wesley Tansey , Yanzhen Chen

We develop a general estimation and inference procedure for the common parameters in linear panel data regression models with nonparametric two-way specification of unobserved heterogeneity. The procedure takes as input any first-step…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Hugo Freeman , Dennis Kristensen

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

In a pioneer work, R\'ev\'esz (1973) introduces the stochastic approximation method to build up a recursive kernel estimator of the regression function $x\mapsto E(Y|X=x)$. However, according to R\'ev\'esz (1977), his estimator has two main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-23 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Yousri Slaoui

This paper discusses a nonparametric regression model that naturally generalizes neural network models. The model is based on a finite number of one-dimensional transformations and can be estimated with a one-dimensional rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Joel L. Horowitz , Enno Mammen

We study the approximation capacity of deep ReLU recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and explore the convergence properties of nonparametric least squares regression using RNNs. We derive upper bounds on the approximation error of RNNs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yuling Jiao , Yang Wang , Bokai Yan

In this paper, we investigate the supremum-norm generalization error and the uniform inference for a specific class of kernel regression methods, namely the kernel gradient flows. Under the widely adopted capacity-source condition framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Yuqian Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Qian Lin
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