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Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

The predictive normalized maximum likelihood (pNML) approach has recently been proposed as the min-max optimal solution to the batch learning problem where both the training set and the test data feature are individuals, known sequences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Yaniv Fogel , Tal Shapira , Meir Feder

The peculiar properties of the Inverse Weibull (IW) distribution are shown. It is proven that the IW distribution is one of the few models having upside- down bathtub (UBT) shaped hazard function. Three real and typical de generative…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-30 Pasquale Erto

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile

The stationary distribution of allele frequencies under a variety of Wright--Fisher $k$-allele models with selection and parent independent mutation is well studied. However, the statistical properties of maximum likelihood estimates of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-10-12 Erkan Ozge Buzbas , Paul Joyce

We describe Monte Carlo approximation to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants and explanatory variables. We consider both sources of randomness (due to the initial sample and to Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

The advent of data science has spurred interest in estimating properties of distributions over large alphabets. Fundamental symmetric properties such as support size, support coverage, entropy, and proximity to uniformity, received most…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Jayadev Acharya , Hirakendu Das , Alon Orlitsky , Ananda Theertha Suresh

The Weibull parametrization of the multiplicity distribution is used to describe the multidimensional local fluctuations and genuine multiparticle correlations measured by OPAL in the large statistics $e^{+}e^{-} \to Z^{0} \to hadrons$…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-03-08 Ranjit K. Nayak , Sadhana Dash , Edward K. Sarkisyan-Grinbaum , Marek Tasevsky

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

In this paper, we investigate accelerated life testing (ALT) models based on the Weibull distribution with stress-dependent shape and scale parameters. Temperature and voltage are treated as stress variables influencing the lifetime…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rahul Konar , Ramnivas Jat , Neeraj Joshi , Raghu Nandan Sengupta

In a Bayesian learning setting, the posterior distribution of a predictive model arises from a trade-off between its prior distribution and the conditional likelihood of observed data. Such distribution functions usually rely on additional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-01 Andrea Schirru , Simone Pampuri , Giuseppe De Nicolao , Sean McLoone

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved significant performance gains via scaling up model sizes and/or data. However, recent evidence suggests diminishing returns from such approaches, motivating scaling the computation spent at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Isha Puri , Shivchander Sudalairaj , Guangxuan Xu , Kai Xu , Akash Srivastava

Discriminative learning effectively predicts true object class for image classification. However, it often results in false positives for outliers, posing critical concerns in applications like autonomous driving and video surveillance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Masoud Taghikhah , Nishant Kumar , Siniša Šegvić , Abouzar Eslami , Stefan Gumhold

The analysis and planning methods for competing risks model have been described in the literatures in recent decades, and non-inferiority clinical trials are helpful in current pharmaceutical practice. Analytical methods for non-inferiority…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-22 Dong Han , Zheng Chen , Yawen Hou

In this paper the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator (GQMLE) is generalized by applying a transform to the probability distribution of the data. The proposed estimator, called measure-transformed GQMLE (MT-GQMLE), minimizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-19 Koby Todros , Alfred O. Hero

Machine learning models have exhibited exceptional results in various domains. The most prevalent approach for learning is the empirical risk minimizer (ERM), which adapts the model's weights to reduce the loss on a training set and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Koby Bibas

The inverse problem for a disordered system involves determining the interparticle interaction parameters consistent with a given set of experimental data. Recently, Rutledge has shown (Phys. Rev. E63, 021111 (2001)) that such problems can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 N. B. Wilding

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty