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Related papers: Manifold-based time series forecasting

200 papers

We address a three-tier numerical framework based on manifold learning for the forecasting of high-dimensional time series. At the first step, we embed the time series into a reduced low-dimensional space using a nonlinear manifold learning…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Panagiotis Papaioannou , Ronen Talmon , Ioannis Kevrekidis , Constantinos Siettos

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

Time series forecasting has attracted significant attention, leading to the de-velopment of a wide range of approaches, from traditional statistical meth-ods to advanced deep learning models. Among them, the Auto-Regressive Integrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Thanh Son Nguyen , Van Thanh Nguyen , Dang Minh Duc Nguyen

Time series forecasting is essential for agents to make decisions. Traditional approaches rely on statistical methods to forecast given past numeric values. In practice, end-users often rely on visualizations such as charts and plots to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Srijan Sood , Zhen Zeng , Naftali Cohen , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

Providing forecasts for ultra-long time series plays a vital role in various activities, such as investment decisions, industrial production arrangements, and farm management. This paper develops a novel distributed forecasting framework to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Time series analysis is widely used in extensive areas. Recently, to reduce labeling expenses and benefit various tasks, self-supervised pre-training has attracted immense interest. One mainstream paradigm is masked modeling, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jiaxiang Dong , Haixu Wu , Haoran Zhang , Li Zhang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

An increasing array of biomedical and computer vision applications requires the predictive modeling of complex data, for example images and shapes. The main challenge when predicting such objects lies in the fact that they do not comply to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-17 Dimosthenis Tsagkrasoulis , Giovanni Montana

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Recent works for time-series forecasting more and more leverage the high predictive power of Deep Learning models. With this increase in model complexity, however, comes a lack in understanding of the underlying model decision process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Matthias Jakobs , Thomas Liebig

Time series prediction covers a vast field of every-day statistical applications in medical, environmental and economic domains. In this paper we develop nonparametric prediction strategies based on the combination of a set of 'experts' and…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-01-03 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , László Györfi , György Ottucsák

In this work, we address time-series forecasting as a computer vision task. We capture input data as an image and train a model to produce the subsequent image. This approach results in predicting distributions as opposed to pointwise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Naftali Cohen , Srijan Sood , Zhen Zeng , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Time series forecasting is essential for decision making in many domains. In this work, we address the challenge of predicting prices evolution among multiple potentially interacting financial assets. A solution to this problem has obvious…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Zhen Zeng , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

In this paper we address the problem of predicting a time series using the ARMA (autoregressive moving average) model, under minimal assumptions on the noise terms. Using regret minimization techniques, we develop effective online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Oren Anava , Elad Hazan , Shie Mannor , Ohad Shamir

Time series forecasting has seen many methods attempted over the past few decades, including traditional technical analysis, algorithmic statistical models, and more recent machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Harshal Patel , Bharath Kumar Bolla , Sabeesh E , Dinesh Reddy
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