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Related papers: Testing and Validating Two Morphological Flare Pre…

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We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-26 Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Xiantong Wang , Ward Manchester , Tamas Gombosi , Alfred Hero , Yang Chen

Major solar flares are abrupt surges in the Sun's magnetic flux, presenting significant risks to technological infrastructure. In view of this, effectively predicting major flares from solar active region magnetic field data through machine…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-02 Onur Vural , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

A statistical analysis of magnetic energies of the nonlinear force-free and potential fields, and their difference (a proxy for the free magnetic energy) in active regions (ARs) on the Sun of different Hale (Mount Wilson) and McIntosh…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-15 I. V. Zimovets , I. N. Sharykin , W. -Q. Gan

A long-standing problem is to predict the future flare productivity of an active region (AR) when it is on the stage of early emergence. The aim of this study is to probe two parameters of the photospheric magnetic field, both derived…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 Alexander S. Kutsenko , Valentina I. Abramenko , Olga K. Kutsenko

We apply multi-algorithm machine learning models to TESS 2-minute survey data from Sectors 1-72 to identify stellar flares. Models trained with Deep Neural Network, Random Forest, and XGBoost algorithms, respectively, utilized four flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-24 Chia-Lung Lin , Daniel Apai , Mark S. Giampapa , Wing-Huen Ip

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are major drivers of stellar space weather and can strongly influence the habitability of exoplanets. However, compared to the frequent occurrence of white-light flares, confirmed stellar CMEs remain extremely…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-18 Yu Shi , Hong-Peng Lu , Li-Yun Zhang , Tian-Hao Su , Chao Tan

Line-of-sight magnetograms for 217 active regions (ARs) of different flare rate observed at the solar disk center from January 1997 until December 2006 are utilized to study the turbulence regime and its relationship to the flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Valentyna Abramenko , Vasyl Yurchyshyn

We analyse the temporal evolution of the Differential Emission Measure (DEM) of solar active regions and explore its usage in solar flare prediction. The DEM maps are provided by the Gaussian Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (GAIA-DEM) archive,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-13 C. Gontikakis , I. Kontogiannis , M. K. Georgoulis , C. Guennou , P. Syntelis , S. H. Park , E. Buchlin

We analyse the spatial distribution and vertical stratification of the physical parameters of the solar atmosphere when an X-class flare occurs. We made use of observations acquired by the Interferometric Bidimensional Spectropolarimeter…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-19 F. Ferrente , C. Quintero Noda , F. Zuccarello , S. L. Guglielmino

This work explores the impacts of magnetogram projection effects on machine learning-based solar flare forecasting models. Utilizing a methodology proposed by Falconer et al. (2016), we correct for projection effects present in Georgia…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-12 Griffin T. Goodwin , Viacheslav M. Sadykov , Petrus C. Martens

Without any doubt solar flaring loops possess a multi-thread internal structure that is poorly resolved and there are no means to observe heating episodes and thermodynamic evolution of the individual threads. These limitations cause…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-04 R. Falewicz , P. Rudawy , K. Murawski , A. K. Srivastava

Solar active regions (ARs) are areas on the Sun with very strong magnetic fields where various activities take place. Prominences are one of the typical solar features in the solar atmosphere, whose eruptions often lead to solar flares and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-22 T. Zhang , Q. Hao , P. F. Chen

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

White-light flares (WLFs) are energetic activity in stellar atmosphere. However, the observed solar WLF is relatively rare compared to stellar WLFs or solar flares observed at other wavelengths, limiting our further understanding…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-13 Yingjie Cai , Yijun Hou , Ting Li , Jifeng Liu

The Space-Weather ANalytics for Solar Flares (SWAN-SF) is a multivariate time series benchmark dataset recently created to serve the heliophysics community as a testbed for solar flare forecasting models. SWAN-SF contains 54 unique…

Solar flares are events of intense scientific interest. Although certain solar conditions are known to be associated with flare activity, the exact location and timing of an individual flare on the Sun cannot as yet be predicted with…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-03 Andrew R. Inglis , Jack Ireland , Albert Y. Shih , Steven D. Christe

Solar flares are energetic events in the solar atmosphere that are often linked with solar radio bursts (SRBs). SRBs are observed at metric to decametric wavelengths and are classified into five spectral classes (Type I--V) based on their…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 Jeremiah Scully , Ronan Flynn , Peter Gallagher , Eoin Carley , Mark Daly

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections are among the most prominent manifestations of the magnetic activity of the Sun. The strongest events of them tend to occur in active regions (ARs) that are large, complex, and dynamically evolving.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-17 Shin Toriumi

Space weather phenomena such as solar flares, have massive destructive power when reaches certain amount of magnitude. Such high magnitude solar flare event can interfere space-earth radio communications and neutralize space-earth…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-19 Vlad Landa , Yuval Reuveni

This study focuses on forecasting major (>=M-class) solar flares that can severely impact the near-Earth environment. We construct two types of datasets using the Space Weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP), and develop a flare…