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Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Reduced-order dynamical models play a central role in developing our understanding of predictability of climate irrespective of whether we are dealing with the actual climate system or surrogate climate-models. In this context, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-11 B. T. Nadiga

Physics-based and data-driven models for remaining useful lifetime (RUL) prediction typically suffer from two major challenges that limit their applicability to complex real-world domains: (1) incompleteness of physics-based models and (2)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Manuel Arias Chao , Chetan Kulkarni , Kai Goebel , Olga Fink

Identifying the parameters of a model and rating competitive models based on measured data has been among the most important but challenging topics in modern science and engineering, with great potential of application in structural system…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-02 F. A. DiazDelaO , A. Garbuno-Inigo , S. K. Au , I. Yoshida

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

This paper considers a stochastic control framework, in which the residual model uncertainty of the dynamical system is learned using a Gaussian Process (GP). In the proposed formulation, the residual model uncertainty consists of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Marcel Menner , Karl Berntorp

Engineered infrastructure systems pose inverse problems in which hidden states, unknown parameters, and subsystem couplings must be inferred from sparse and noisy measurements. These problems are difficult because physical subsystems are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-28 Esmaeil Ghorbani , Jürgen Hackl

Neural networks are currently transforming the field of computer algorithms, yet their emulation on current computing substrates is highly inefficient. Reservoir computing was successfully implemented on a large variety of substrates and…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Bogdan Penkovsky , Xavier Porte , Maxime Jacquot , Laurent Larger , Daniel Brunner

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

State estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems has long aimed to balance accuracy, computational efficiency, robustness, and reliability. The rapid evolution of various industries has amplified the demand for estimation frameworks that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-15 Reza Ahmadvand , Sarah Safura Sharif , Yaser Mike Banad

We consider some crucial problems related to the secure and reliable operation of power systems with high renewable penetrations: how much reserve should we procure, how should reserve resources distribute among different locations, and how…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-19 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

This paper investigates in detail the effects of noise on the performance of reservoir computing. We focus on an application in which reservoir computers are used to learn the relationship between different state variables of a chaotic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Chad Nathe , Chandra Pappu , Nicholas A. Mecholsky , Joseph D. Hart , Thomas Carroll , Francesco Sorrentino

This paper introduces a stochastic hybrid system (SHS) framework in state space model to capture sensor, communication, and system contingencies in modern power systems (MPS). Within this new framework, the paper concentrates on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-31 Shuo Yuan , Le Yi Wang , George Yin , Masoud H. Nazari

We consider the problem of stabilization of a linear system, under state and control constraints, and subject to bounded disturbances and unknown parameters in the state matrix. First, using a simple least square solution and available…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-22 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Scrambling quantum systems have attracted attention as effective substrates for temporal information processing. Here we consider a quantum reservoir processing framework that captures a broad range of physical computing models with quantum…

In this effort we propose a data-driven learning framework for reduced order modeling of fluid dynamics. Designing accurate and efficient reduced order models for nonlinear fluid dynamic problems is challenging for many practical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-12-05 Xuping Xie , Guannan Zhang , Clayton G. Webster

In this paper, we revisit techniques for uncertainty estimation within deep neural networks and consolidate a suite of techniques to enhance their reliability. Our investigation reveals that an integrated application of diverse…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Yuting Li , Yingyi Chen , Xuanlong Yu , Dexiong Chen , Xi Shen
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