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The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has caused sudden shocks in transportation systems, specifically the subway ridership patterns in New York City. Understanding the temporal pattern of subway ridership through statistical models is crucial…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-31 Bahman Moghimi , Camille Kamga , Abolfazl Safikhani , Sandeep Mudigonda , Patricio Vicuna

We introduce an extended generalised logistic growth model for discrete outcomes, in which a network structure can be specified to deal with spatial dependence and time dependence is dealt with using an Auto-Regressive approach. A major…

Predicting epidemic dynamics is of great value in understanding and controlling diffusion processes, such as infectious disease spread and information propagation. This task is intractable, especially when surveillance resources are very…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-04 Hongbin Pei , Bo Yang , Jiming Liu , Lei Dong

New coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has constituted a global pandemic and has spread to most countries and regions in the world. By understanding the development trend of a regional epidemic, the epidemic can be controlled using the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Bingjie Yan , Xiangyan Tang , Boyi Liu , Jun Wang , Yize Zhou , Guopeng Zheng , Qi Zou , Yao Lu , Wenxuan Tu

The cloud radio access network (C-RAN) is a promising paradigm to meet the stringent requirements of the fifth generation (5G) wireless systems. Meanwhile, wireless traffic prediction is a key enabler for C-RANs to improve both the spectrum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Yue Xu , Feng Yin , Wenjun Xu , Jiaru Lin , Shuguang Cui

The premise of network statistics derived from Google Trends data to foresee COVID-19 disease progression is gaining momentum in infodemiology. This approach was applied in Metro Manila, National Capital Region, Philippines. Through dynamic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Michael T. Lopez , Cheska Elise Hung , Maria Regina Justina E. Estuar

Accurate passenger flow prediction of urban rail transit is essential for improving the performance of intelligent transportation systems, especially during the epidemic. How to dynamically model the complex spatiotemporal dependencies of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Shuxin Zhang , Jinlei Zhang , Lixing Yang , Chengcheng Wang , Ziyou Gao

Regime shifts are quite common in complex systems like cell regulations, disease transmissions, ecosystems, marine ice instability, etc. Several statistical indicators known as early warning signals (EWS) have been theorized to anticipate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Shankha Narayan Chattopadhyay , Arvind Kumar Gupta

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

Traffic forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation systems. One of the critical challenges of traffic forecasting is to find spatio-temporal correlations. In recent years, graph convolutional networks and graph…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Tianchi Zhang

Human mobility is intricately influenced by urban contexts spatially and temporally, constituting essential domain knowledge in understanding traffic systems. While existing traffic forecasting models primarily rely on raw traffic data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Yatao Zhang , Yi Wang , Song Gao , Martin Raubal

With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

Clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) have been widely utilized to support the decisions made by cardiologists when detecting and classifying arrhythmia from electrocardiograms (ECGs). However, forming a CDSS for the arrhythmia…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-16 Yun Kwan Kim , Minji Lee , Kunwook Jo , Hee Seok Song , Seong-Whan Lee

Overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) remains a persistent operational challenge worldwide, causing delays in care delivery and downstream congestion. ED boarding time, defined as the duration admitted patients remain in the ED while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Orhun Vural , Abdulaziz Ahmed , Ferhat Zengul , James Booth , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Emergency events in a city cause considerable economic loss to individuals, their families, and the community. Accurate and timely prediction of events can help the emergency fire and rescue services in preparing for and mitigating the…

Diverse non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), serving as the primary approach for COVID-19 control prior to pharmaceutical interventions, showed heterogeneous spatiotemporal effects on pandemic management. Investigating the dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Binbin Lin , Yimin Dai , Lei Zou , Ning Ning

Traffic flow forecasting, especially the short-term case, is an important topic in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). This paper does a lot of research on network-scale modeling and forecasting of short-term traffic flows. Firstly,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Shiliang Sun , Rongqing Huang , Ya Gao

Mitigating the substantial undesirable impact of transportation systems on the environment is paramount. Thus, predicting Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions is one of the profound topics, especially with the emergence of intelligent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-07 Lama Alfaseeh , Ran Tu , Bilal Farooq , Marianne Hatzopoulou

Stroke affected millions annually, yet poor symptom recognition often delayed care-seeking. To address risk recognition gap, we developed a passive surveillance system for early stroke risk detection using patient-reported symptoms among…

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