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A new computationally efficient dependence measure, and an adaptive statistical test of independence, are proposed. The dependence measure is the difference between analytic embeddings of the joint distribution and the product of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Arthur Gretton

Testing multiple hypotheses of conditional independence with provable error rate control is a fundamental problem with various applications. To infer conditional independence with family-wise error rate (FWER) control when only summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Catherine Xinrui Yu , Jiaqi Gu , Zhaomeng Chen , Zihuai He

The following learning problem arises naturally in various applications: Given a finite sample from a categorical or count time series, can we learn a function of the sample that (nearly) maximizes the probability of correctly guessing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 J. -R. Chazottes , S. Gallo , D. Takahashi

We do the error analysis in reliability measures due to the assumption of independence amongst the component lifetimes. In reliability theory, we come across different n-component structures like series, parallel, and k-out-of-n systems. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda K. Nanda , Subhasree Patra

Motivated by the need to statistically quantify the difference between two spatio-temporal datasets that arise in climate downscaling studies, we propose new tests to detect the differences of the covariance operators and their associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Xianyang Zhang , Xiaofeng Shao

Extant "fast" algorithms for Monte Carlo confidence sets are limited to univariate shift parameters for the one-sample and two-sample problems using the sample mean as the test statistic; moreover, some do not converge reliably and most do…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-27 Amanda K. Glazer , Philip B. Stark

A new portmanteau test statistic is proposed for detecting nonlinearity in time series data. In this paper, we elaborate on the Toeplitz autocorrelation matrix to the autocorrelation and cross-correlation of residuals and squared residuals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Esam Mahdi , Thomas J. Fisher

In this paper, we consider testing the martingale difference hypothesis for high-dimensional time series. Our test is built on the sum of squares of the element-wise max-norm of the proposed matrix-valued nonlinear dependence measure at…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Qing Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

In this paper we study different concepts of independence for convex sets of probabilities. There will be two basic ideas for independence. The first is irrelevance. Two variables are independent when a change on the knowledge about one…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Luis M. de Campos , Serafin Moral

In this paper, we present a general framework for testing relevant hypotheses in functional time series. Our unified approach covers one-sample, two-sample, and change point problems under contaminated observations with arbitrary sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we provide a novel characterization of independence of random vectors based on the checkerboard approximation to a multivariate copula. Using this result, we then propose a new family of tests of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 José M. González-Barrios , Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña , Juan D. Nieves , Raúl Rueda

We consider a zero mean discrete time series, and define its discrete Fourier transform at the canonical frequencies. It is well known that the discrete Fourier transform is asymptotically uncorrelated at the canonical frequencies if and if…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-26 Yogesh Dwivedi , Suhasini Subba Rao

Consider a difference equation which takes the k-th largest output of m functions of the previous m terms of the sequence. If the functions are also allowed to change periodically as the difference equation evolves this is analogous to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-04 Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc framework for uncertainty quantification that provides distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, these guarantees crucially rely on the assumption of exchangeability. This assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 M. Stocker , W. Małgorzewicz , M. Fontana , S. Ben Taieb

A fundamental task in statistical learning is quantifying the joint dependence or association between two continuous random variables. We introduce a novel, fully non-parametric measure that assesses the degree of association between…

We propose an estimator of the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion obtained from an appropriate modification of the usual estimator. We then get asymptotic normality of this estimator both under independence hypothesis and under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Terence Kevin Manfoumbi Djonguet , Guy Martial Nkiet , Alban Mbina Mbina

Time series classification is a task that aims at classifying chronological data. It is used in a diverse range of domains such as meteorology, medicine and physics. In the last decade, many algorithms have been built to perform this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Michael Franklin Mbouopda , Engelbert Mephu Nguifo

We develop a monitoring procedure to detect changes in a large approximate factor model. Letting $r$ be the number of common factors, we base our statistics on the fact that the $\left( r+1\right) $-th eigenvalue of the sample covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Lorenzo Trapani

A fundamental and often final step in time series modeling is to assess the quality of fit of a proposed model to the data. Since the underlying distribution of the innovations that generate a model is often not prescribed, goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Richard A. Davis , Leon Fernandes

We give the asymptotic behavior of the Mann-Whitney U-statistic for two independent stationary sequences. The result applies to a large class of short-range dependent sequences, including many non-mixing processes in the sense of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Guillaume Saulière