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Population dynamics with spatial information is applied to understand the spread of pests. We introduce a model describing how pests spread in discrete space. The number of pest descendants at each site is controlled by local information…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-20 Woo Seong Jo , Hwang-Yong Kim , Beom Jun Kim

Modelling wildfire occurrences is important for disaster management including prevention, detection and suppression of large catastrophic events. We present a spatial Poisson hurdle model for exploring geographical variation of monthly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-02 Justin A. Kasin , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

In a recent paper, we have introduced a new model to describe front propagation in bushfires. This model describes temperature diffusion in view of an ignition process induced by an interaction kernel, the effect of the environmental wind…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci , Glen Wheeler , Valentina-Mira Wheeler

Spatio-temporal extensions of familiar compartment models for disease transmission incorporating diffusive behavior, or interactions between individuals at separate locations, are explored. The models considered have the character of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Joseph Rudnick , David Jasnow , Jorge Vinals

A general framework for the description of classic wave propagation is introduced. This relies on a cone structure $C$ determined by an intrinsic space $\Sigma$ of velocities of propagation (point, direction and time-dependent) and an…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Miguel Á. Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

The dynamics of two-dimensional thin premixed flames is addressed in the framework of mathematical models where the flow field on either side of the front is piecewise incompressible and vorticity-free. Flames confined in channels with…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-27 G. Joulin , B. Denet , H. El-Rabii

The problem of flame propagation is studied as an example of unstable fronts that wrinkle on many scales is studied. The analytic tool of pole expansion in the complex plane is emloyed to address the interaction of the unstable growth…

adap-org · Physics 2011-08-19 Zeev Olami , Barak Galanti , Oleg Kupervasser , Itamar Procaccia

Spatial heterogeneity and habitat characteristic are shown to determine the asymptotic profile of the solution to a reaction-diffusion model with free boundary, which describes the moving front of the invasive species. A threshold value…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-26 Chengxia Lei , Zhigui Lin , Qunying Zhang

In this paper, we propose a feedback control strategy to protect vulnerable areas from wildfires. We consider a system of coupled partial differential equations (PDEs) that models heat propagation and fuel depletion in wildfires and study…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Mohamed Camil Belhadjoudja , Mohamed Maghenem , Emmanuel Witrant , Didier Georges

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

Spreading broadly refers to the notion of an entity propagating throughout a networked system via its interacting components. Evidence of its ubiquity and severity can be seen in a range of phenomena, from disease epidemics to financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Christos Ellinas

In the present paper we study the global behaviour of geodesics on a Randers metric, defined on a topological cylinder, obtained as the solution of the Zermelo's navigation problem. Our wind is not necessarily a Killing field. In special we…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Rattanasak Hama , Sorin V. Sabau

In wildfires, burning pieces of ember-firebrands-are carried downstream by wind. At the time of landing, these firebrands can start secondary fires far away from the main burning unit. This phenomenon is called spotting and the secondary…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-21 Mohammad Farazmand

Developing accurate computational models of wildfire dynamics is increasingly important due to the substantial and expanding negative impacts of wildfire events on human health, infrastructure, and the environment. Wildfire spread and…

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Roberto Beneduci , Giovanni Mascali

Atmospheric pollution regulations have emerged as a dominant obstacle to prescribed burns. Thus, forecasting the pollution caused by wildland fires has acquired high importance. WRF and SFIRE model wildland fire spread in a two-way…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-11-05 Adam K. Kochanski , Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Craig B. Clements

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

We consider asymptotic problems concerning the motion of interface separating the regions of large and small values of the solution of a reaction-diffusion equation in the media consisting of domains with different characteristics…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

The lack of extensive research in the application of inexpensive wireless sensor nodes for the early detection of wildfires motivated us to investigate the cost of such a network. As a first step, in this paper we present several results…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2008-11-03 Pablo Ignacio Fierens