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The propagation of uncertainties in reaction cross sections and rates of neutron-, proton-, and $\alpha$-induced reactions into the final isotopic abundances obtained in nucleosynthesis models is an important issue in studies of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-12-24 T. Rauscher

Several methodologies using different levels of approximations have been developed for propagating nuclear data uncertainties in nuclear burn-up simulations. Most methods fall into the two broad classes of Monte Carlo approaches, which are…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-01-08 Carlos Javier Diez , Oliver Buss , Axel Hoefer , Dieter Porsch , Oscar Cabellos

The recently developed method Lasso Monte Carlo (LMC) for uncertainty quantification is applied to the characterisation of spent nuclear fuel. The propagation of nuclear data uncertainties to the output of calculations is an often required…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-09-04 Arnau Albà , Andreas Adelmann , Dimitri Rochman

Context. Monte Carlo methods have enabled nuclear reaction rates from uncertain inputs to be presented in a statistically meaningful manner. However, these uncertainties are currently computed assuming no correlations between the physical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-02 Richard Longland

Although uncertainty quantification has been making its way into nuclear theory, these methods have yet to be explored in the context of reaction theory. For example, it is well known that different parameterizations of the optical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-03-01 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

In multi-objective design tasks, the computational cost increases rapidly when high-fidelity simulations are used to evaluate objective functions. Surrogate models help mitigate this cost by approximating the simulation output, simplifying…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Omer F. Erdem , David P. Broughton , Josef Svoboda , Chengkun Huang , Majdi I. Radaideh

Accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiments have the potential to revolutionise our understanding of fundamental physics, offering an opportunity to characterise charge-parity violation in the lepton section, to determine the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-01-24 S. Dolan

Context. Monte Carlo methods can be used to evaluate the uncertainty of a reaction rate that arises from many uncertain nuclear inputs. However, until now no attempt has been made to find the effect of correlated energy uncertainties in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 Richard Longland , Nicolas de Séréville

Future neutrino-oscillation experiments are expected to bring definite answers to the questions of neutrino-mass hierarchy and violation of charge-parity symmetry in the lepton sector. To realize this ambitious program it is necessary to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-05-15 Artur M Ankowski , Camillo Mariani

Fast and accurate predictions of uncertainties in the computed dose are crucial for the determination of robust treatment plans in radiation therapy. This requires the solution of particle transport problems with uncertain parameters or…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Pia Stammer , Lucas Burigo , Oliver Jäkel , Martin Frank , Niklas Wahl

Accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiments have the potential to revolutionise our understanding of fundamental physics, offering an opportunity to characterise charge-parity violation in the lepton sector; to determine the neutrino…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-05-28 Stephen Dolan , Luke Pickering , Patrick Stowell , Callum Wilkinson , Clarence Wret

Propagating nuclear uncertainties to nucleosynthesis simulations is key to understand the impact of theoretical uncertainties on the predictions, especially for processes far from the stability region, where nuclear properties are scarcely…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-06 S. Martinet , G. Goriely , A. Choplin , L. Siess

The composition of the space radiation environment inside spacecrafts is modified by the interaction with shielding material, with equipment and even with the astronauts' bodies. Accurate quantitative estimates of the effects of nuclear…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2011-03-07 Davide Mancusi , Alain Boudard , Joseph Cugnon , Jean-Christophe David , Sylvie Leray

In the context of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of particle transport Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) addresses the issue of predicting non statistical errors affecting the physical results, i.e. errors deriving mainly from uncertainties in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Paolo Saracco , Maria Grazia Pia

Monte Carlo-transport codes are designed to simulate the complex neutron transport physics associated with nuclear systems. These codes are tasked with simulating phenomena such as temperature effects on cross-sections, thermo-physical…

An intercomparison of microdosimetric and nanodosimetric quantities simulated Monte Carlo codes is in progress with the goal of assessing the uncertainty contribution to simulated results due to the uncertainties of the electron interaction…

Reliable predictions of weak rapid neutron capture ($\textit{r}$-process) abundances require a systematic treatment of nuclear physics uncertainties, especially neutron capture rates far from stability. We employ new neutron capture rates…

To achieve its design goals, the next generation of neutrino-oscillation accelerator experiments requires percent-level predictions of neutrino-nucleus cross sections supplemented by robust estimates of the theoretical uncertainties…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-11-08 Daniel Simons , Noah Steinberg , Alessandro Lovato , Yannick Meurice , Noemi Rocco , Michael Wagman

Despite recent advances and focus on rigorous uncertainty quantification for microscopic models of quantum many-body systems, the uncertainty on the dynamics of those systems has been under-explored. To address this, we have used…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-11-30 K. Godbey , A. S. Umar , C. Simenel
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