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Related papers: Confidence Estimation via Auxiliary Models

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Confidence calibration -- the problem of predicting probability estimates representative of the true correctness likelihood -- is important for classification models in many applications. We discover that modern neural networks, unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Chuan Guo , Geoff Pleiss , Yu Sun , Kilian Q. Weinberger

The goal of confidence-set learning in the binary classification setting is to construct two sets, each with a specific probability guarantee to cover a class. An observation outside the overlap of the two sets is deemed to be from one of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Wenbo Wang , Xingye Qiao

Despite having excellent performances for a wide variety of tasks, modern neural networks are unable to provide a reliable confidence value allowing to detect misclassifications. This limitation is at the heart of what is known as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Jonathan Aigrain , Marcin Detyniecki

We consider a collaborative learning setting where the goal of each agent is to improve their own model by leveraging the expertise of collaborators, in addition to their own training data. To facilitate the exchange of expertise among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Dongyang Fan , Celestine Mendler-Dünner , Martin Jaggi

Despite tremendous success of modern neural networks, they are known to be overconfident even when the model encounters inputs with unfamiliar conditions. Detecting such inputs is vital to preventing models from making naive predictions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Jinsol Lee , Ghassan AlRegib

Artificial Intelligence systems require a through assessment of different pillars of trust, namely, fairness, interpretability, data and model privacy, reliability (safety) and robustness against against adversarial attacks. While these…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Vasisht Duddu , N. Rajesh Pillai , D. Vijay Rao , Valentina E. Balas

This study addresses the problem of calibrating network confidence while adapting a model that was originally trained on a source domain to a target domain using unlabeled samples from the target domain. The absence of labels from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Coby Penso , Jacob Goldberger

Self-training is a well-known approach for semi-supervised learning. It consists of iteratively assigning pseudo-labels to unlabeled data for which the model is confident and treating them as labeled examples. For neural networks, softmax…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Ambroise Odonnat , Vasilii Feofanov , Ievgen Redko

Transformation-based learning has been successfully employed to solve many natural language processing problems. It has many positive features, but one drawback is that it does not provide estimates of class membership probabilities. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Radu Florian , John C. Henderson , Grace Ngai

Uncertainty calibration is crucial for various machine learning applications, yet it remains challenging. Many models exhibit hallucinations - confident yet inaccurate responses - due to miscalibrated confidence. Here, we show that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Jeonghwan Cheon , Se-Bum Paik

Deep neural networks (DNNs) often suffer from the overconfidence issue, where incorrect predictions are made with high confidence scores, hindering the applications in critical systems. In this paper, we propose a novel approach called…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yijun Liu , Jiequan Cui , Zhuotao Tian , Senqiao Yang , Qingdong He , Xiaoling Wang , Jingyong Su

Modern neural networks are very powerful predictive models, but they are often incapable of recognizing when their predictions may be wrong. Closely related to this is the task of out-of-distribution detection, where a network must…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Terrance DeVries , Graham W. Taylor

Confidence bounds are an essential tool for rigorously quantifying the uncertainty of predictions. They are a core component in many sequential learning and decision-making algorithms, with tighter confidence bounds giving rise to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Hamish Flynn , David Reeb

Concept-based Models are a class of inherently explainable networks that improve upon standard Deep Neural Networks by providing a rationale behind their predictions using human-understandable `concepts'. With these models being highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Sanchit Sinha , Aidong Zhang

Privacy-preserving machine learning aims to train models on private data without leaking sensitive information. Differential privacy (DP) is considered the gold standard framework for privacy-preserving training, as it provides formal…

The Model Context Protocol (MCP) standardizes how a large-language-model (LLM) agent and an external tool server exchange messages, but not trust: a host reads a server's self-declared tool list and dispatches calls, with no notion of which…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Alfredo Metere

Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Uncertainty estimation is at the core of Active Learning (AL). Most existing methods resort to complex auxiliary models and advanced training fashions to estimate uncertainty for unlabeled data. These models need special design and hence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Tianyang Wang , Xi Xiao , Gaofei Chen , Xiaoying Liao , Guo Cheng , Yingrui Ji

Differential Privacy (DP) is the de facto standard for reasoning about the privacy guarantees of a training algorithm. Despite the empirical observation that DP reduces the vulnerability of models to existing membership inference (MI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Anvith Thudi , Ilia Shumailov , Franziska Boenisch , Nicolas Papernot

Conformal prediction (CP) is an emerging uncertainty quantification framework that allows us to construct a prediction set to cover the true label with a pre-specified marginal or conditional probability. Although the valid coverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Yuanjie Shi , Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Yan Yan