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Related papers: Confidence Estimation via Auxiliary Models

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We introduce Neural Conditional Probability (NCP), an operator-theoretic approach to learning conditional distributions with a focus on statistical inference tasks. NCP can be used to build conditional confidence regions and extract key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Vladimir R. Kostic , Karim Lounici , Gregoire Pacreau , Pietro Novelli , Giacomo Turri , Massimiliano Pontil

An important component in deploying machine learning (ML) in safety-critic applications is having a reliable measure of confidence in the ML model's predictions. For a classifier $f$ producing a probability vector $f(x)$ over the candidate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Gal Yona , Amir Feder , Itay Laish

In deep learning applications, robustness measures the ability of neural models that handle slight changes in input data, which could lead to potential safety hazards, especially in safety-critical applications. Pre-deployment assessment of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Wenchuan Mu , Kwan Hui Lim

The ability to ensure that a classifier gives reliable confidence scores is essential to ensure informed decision-making. To this end, recent work has focused on miscalibration, i.e., the over or under confidence of model scores. Yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Marine Le Morvan , Gaël Varoquaux

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made great strides in pushing the state-of-the-art in several challenging domains. Recent studies reveal that they are prone to making overconfident predictions. This greatly reduces the overall trust in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Vinith Kugathasan , Muhammad Haris Khan

Beyond assigning the correct class, an activity recognition model should also be able to determine, how certain it is in its predictions. We present the first study of how welthe confidence values of modern action recognition architectures…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Alina Roitberg , Monica Haurilet , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

Confident prediction is highly relevant in machine learning; for example, in applications such as medical diagnoses, wrong prediction can be fatal. For classification, there already exist procedures that allow to not classify data when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

Machine-learning based intrusion detection classifiers are able to detect unknown attacks, but at the same time, they may be susceptible to evasion by obfuscation techniques. An adversary intruder which possesses a crucial knowledge about a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Ivan Homoliak , Martin Teknos , Martín Ochoa , Dominik Breitenbacher , Saeid Hosseini , Petr Hanacek

Adversarial examples pose a security threat to many critical systems built on neural networks (such as face recognition systems, and self-driving cars). While many methods have been proposed to build robust models, how to build certifiably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Ruihan Zhang , Peixin Zhang , Jun Sun

The problem of detecting whether a test sample is from in-distribution (i.e., training distribution by a classifier) or out-of-distribution sufficiently different from it arises in many real-world machine learning applications. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Kimin Lee , Honglak Lee , Kibok Lee , Jinwoo Shin

Standard conformal prediction offers a marginal guarantee on coverage, but for prediction sets to be truly useful, they should ideally ensure coverage conditional on each test point. Unfortunately, it is impossible to achieve exact,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jivat Neet Kaur , Michael I. Jordan , Ahmed Alaa

Collaborative Object Detection (COD) and collaborative perception can integrate data or features from various entities, and improve object detection accuracy compared with individual perception. However, adversarial attacks pose a potential…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Cong Chen , Jean-Philippe Monteuuis , Jonathan Petit , Fei Miao

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

Machine learning classification tasks often benefit from predicting a set of possible labels with confidence scores to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of the data and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Validation accuracy is a necessary, but not sufficient, measure of a neural network classifier's quality. High validation accuracy during development does not guarantee that a model is free of serious flaws, such as vulnerability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 John S. Hyatt , Michael S. Lee

Context: During the development process of a software program, regression testing is used to ensure that the correct behavior of the software is retained after updates to the source code. This regression testing becomes costly over time as…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Mostafa Mahdieh , Seyed-Hassan Mirian-Hosseinabadi , Khashayar Etemadi , Ali Nosrati , Sajad Jalali

Machine learning models are typically deployed in a test setting that differs from the training setting, potentially leading to decreased model performance because of domain shift. If we could estimate the performance that a pre-trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Zeju Li , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mobarakol Islam , Chen Chen , Ben Glocker

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

High annotation cost for training machine learning classifiers has driven extensive research in active learning and self-supervised learning. Recent research has shown that in the context of supervised learning different active learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Ziting Wen , Oscar Pizarro , Stefan Williams

Deep clustering has exhibited remarkable performance; however, the over confidence problem, i.e., the estimated confidence for a sample belonging to a particular cluster greatly exceeds its actual prediction accuracy, has been over looked…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuheng Jia , Jianhong Cheng , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou