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In many applications of the probabilistic method, one looks to study phenomena that occur ``with high probability''. More recently however, in an attempt to understand some of the most fundamental problems in combinatorics, researchers have…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Julian Sahasrabudhe

This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

We present a method to automatically approximate moment-based invariants of probabilistic programs with non-polynomial updates of continuous state variables to accommodate more complex dynamics. Our approach leverages polynomial chaos…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-03 Andrey Kofnov , Marcel Moosbrugger , Miroslav Stankovič , Ezio Bartocci , Efstathia Bura

Approximating integrals is a fundamental task in probability theory and statistical inference, and their applied fields of signal processing, and Bayesian learning, as soon as expectations over probability distributions must be computed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solal Martin , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

For many probability laws, in parametric models, the estimation of the parameters can be done in the frame of the maximum likelihood method, or in the frame of moment estimation methods, or by using the plug-in method, etc. Usually, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Gorgui Gning , Aladji Babacar Niang , Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

We propose new algorithms for generating $k$-statistics, multivariate $k$-statistics, polykays and multivariate polykays. The resulting computational times are very fast compared with procedures existing in the literature. Such speeding up…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-01 E. Di Nardo , G. Guarino , D. Senato

The negative binomial distribution NB$(k,r)$ of Type I is the probability distribution for a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials (with success parameter $p\in(0,1)$) with $r$ nonoverlapping success runs of length $\ge k$. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 S. R. Mane

We evaluate the moments of some functions composed with the fractional part of $1/x$. We name them fractional moments. In particular, we obtain expressions for the fractional moments of some trigonometric functions, the Bernoulli…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Óscar Ciaurri

We show that one can approximate the least fixed point solution for a multivariate system of monotone probabilistic polynomial equations in time polynomial in both the encoding size of the system of equations and in log(1/\epsilon), where…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Kousha Etessami , Alistair Stewart , Mihalis Yannakakis

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

Deciding in an efficient way weak probabilistic bisimulation in the context of Probabilistic Automata is an open problem for about a decade. In this work we close this problem by proposing a procedure that checks in polynomial time the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-17 Holger Hermanns , Andrea Turrini

We develop moment estimators for the parameters of affine stochastic volatility models. We first address the challenge of calculating moments for the models by introducing a recursive equation for deriving closed-form expressions for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Yan-Feng Wu , Xiangyu Yang , Jian-Qiang Hu

Many combinatorial optimization problems can be formulated as the search for a subgraph that satisfies certain properties and minimizes the total weight. We assume here that the vertices correspond to points in a metric space and can take…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Marin Bougeret , Jérémy Omer , Michael Poss

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

In this paper we study Appell polynomials by connecting them to random variables. This probabilistic approach yields, e.g., the mean value property which is fundamental in the sense that many other properties can be derived from it. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Bao Quoc Ta

We establish, utilizing the Hardy-Littlewood Circle Method, an asymptotic formula for the number of pairs of primes whose differences lie in the image of a fixed polynomial. We also include a generalization of this result where differences…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Neil Lyall , Alex Rice

The subject of the present study is the Monte Carlo path-integral evaluation of the moments of spectral functions. Such moments can be computed by formal differentiation of certain estimating functionals that are infinitely-differentiable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Cristian Predescu

Exceptional orthogonal Laguerre polynomials can be viewed as an extension of the classical Laguerre polynomials per excluding polynomials of certain order(s) from being eigenfunctions for the corresponding exceptional differential operator.…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Constanze Liaw , John Osborn

In this paper, we address the risk estimation problem where one aims at estimating the probability of violation of safety constraints for a robot in the presence of bounded uncertainties with arbitrary probability distributions. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Ashkan Jasour , Andreas Hofmann , Brian C. Williams