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Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

In this work, we propose a scalable Bayesian procedure for learning the local dependence structure in a high-dimensional model where the variables possess a natural ordering. The ordering of variables can be indexed by time, the vicinities…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-27 Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

In this work we present full Bayesian inference for a new flexible nonseparable class of cross-covariance functions for multivariate spatial data. A Bayesian test is proposed for separability of covariance functions which is much more…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Rafael S. Erbisti , Thais C. O. Fonseca , Mariane B. Alves

Nonstationarity is a major challenge in analyzing spatial data. For example, daily precipitation measurements may have increased variability and decreased spatial smoothness in areas with high mean rainfall. Common nonstationary covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-31 Geoffrey Colin Lee Peterson , Joseph Guinness , Adam Terando , Brian J. Reich

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Paradoxically, while the assumptions of second-order stationarity and isotropy appear outdated in light of modern spatial data, they remain remarkably robust in practice, as nonstationary methods often provide marginal improvements in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Federico Blasi , Reinhard Furrer

In this paper, we consider the estimation and inference of precision matrices of a rich class of locally stationary and nonlinear time series assuming that only one realization of the time series is observed. Using a Cholesky decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

A stationary spatial model is an idealization and we expect that the true dependence structures of physical phenomena are spatially varying, but how should we handle this non-stationarity in practice? We study the challenges involved in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

In this paper, we attempt to shed light on a new class of nonstationary random fields which exhibit, what we call, local invariant nonstationarity. We argue that the local invariant property has a special interaction with a new generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Ethan Anderes , Joe Guinness

In modeling spatial processes, a second-order stationarity assumption is often made. However, for spatial data observed on a vast domain, the covariance function often varies over space, leading to a heterogeneous spatial dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun , Sebastian Kurtek

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Estimation of stationary dependence structure parameters using only a single realisation of the spatial process, typically leads to inaccurate estimates and poorly identified parameters. A common way to handle this is to fix some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-24 Rikke Ingebrigtsen , Finn Lindgren , Ingelin Steinsland , Sara Martino

Regression for spatially dependent outcomes poses many challenges, for inference and for computation. Non-spatial models and traditional spatial mixed-effects models each have their advantages and disadvantages, making it difficult for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 John Hughes

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

Bayesian calibration of computer models tunes unknown input parameters by comparing outputs with observations. For model outputs that are distributed over space, this becomes computationally expensive because of the output size. To overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Kai-Lan Chang , Serge Guillas

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

The prevalence of spatially referenced multivariate data has impelled researchers to develop a procedure for the joint modeling of multiple spatial processes. This ordinarily involves modeling marginal and cross-process dependence for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun

It is increasingly understood that the assumption of stationarity is unrealistic for many spatial processes. In this article, we combine dimension expansion with a spectral method to model big non-stationary spatial fields in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Hou-Cheng Yang , Jonathan R. Bradley

This paper studies the estimation of a large covariance matrix. We introduce a novel procedure called ChoSelect based on the Cholesky factor of the inverse covariance. This method uses a dimension reduction strategy by selecting the pattern…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-13 Nicolas Verzelen

Spatial statistics often involves Cholesky decomposition of covariance matrices. To ensure scalability to high dimensions, several recent approximations have assumed a sparse Cholesky factor of the precision matrix. We propose a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Marcin Jurek , Matthias Katzfuss