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We present a series of new open source deep learning algorithms to accelerate Bayesian full waveform point source inversion of microseismic events. Inferring the joint posterior probability distribution of moment tensor components and…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-03 A. Spurio Mancini , D. Piras , A. M. G. Ferreira , M. P. Hobson , B. Joachimi

Sparse Gaussian Processes are a key component of high-throughput Bayesian Optimisation (BO) loops; however, we show that existing methods for allocating their inducing points severely hamper optimisation performance. By exploiting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Henry B. Moss , Sebastian W. Ober , Victor Picheny

The brain interprets ambiguous sensory information faster and more reliably than modern computers, using neurons that are slower and less reliable than logic gates. But Bayesian inference, which underpins many computational models of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-21 Vikash Mansinghka , Eric Jonas

We study the problem of estimating the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process based on observations of the points and covariates over a large window. We consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach, and show that a wide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Max-stable processes are a popular tool for the study of environmental extremes, and the extremal skew-$t$ process is a general model that allows for a flexible extremal dependence structure. For inference on max-stable processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 B. Beranger , A. G. Stephenson , S. A. Sisson

Doubly stochastic Poisson processes, also known as the Cox processes, frequently occur in various scientific fields. In this article, motivated primarily by analyzing Cox process data in biophysics, we propose a nonparametric kernel-based…

Applications · Statistics 2011-01-07 Tingting Zhang , S. C. Kou

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

It is common in nature to see aggregation of objects in space. Exploring the mechanism associated with the locations of such clustered observations can be essential to understanding the phenomenon, such as the source of spatial…

High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Zhiliang Deng , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiaomei Yang , Xiaofei Guan

With the rapid advancement of information technology and data collection systems, large-scale spatial panel data presents new methodological and computational challenges. This paper introduces a dynamic spatial panel quantile model that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-10 Tomohiro Ando , Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li , Yong Song

Functional data are defined as realizations of random functions (mostly smooth functions) varying over a continuum, which are usually collected with measurement errors on discretized grids. In order to accurately smooth noisy functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-13 Jingjing Yang , Dennis D. Cox , Jong Soo Lee , Peng Ren , Taeryon Choi

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. One such representation is based on a limit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-26 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

Almost all fields of science rely upon statistical inference to estimate unknown parameters in theoretical and computational models. While the performance of modern computer hardware continues to grow, the computational requirements for the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-25 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Inference for continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) becomes challenging when the process is only observed at discrete time points. The exact likelihood is intractable, and existing methods often struggle even in medium-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Tao Tang , Lachlan Astfalck , David Dunson

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

We review the derivation of the Kac master equation model for random collisions of particles, its relationship to the Poisson process, and existing algorithms for simulating values from the marginal distribution of velocity for a single…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-07 Jem Corcoran , Dale Jennings , Paul VaughanMiller

Classical parameter-space Bayesian inference for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) suffers from several unresolved prior issues, such as knowledge encoding intractability and pathological behaviours in deep networks, which can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Mengjing Wu , Junyu Xuan , Jie Lu

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…