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Modeling and forecasting forward citations to a patent is a central task for the discovery of emerging technologies and for measuring the pulse of inventive progress. Conventional methods for forecasting these forward citations cast the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Taoran Ji , Zhiqian Chen , Nathan Self , Kaiqun Fu , Chang-Tien Lu , Naren Ramakrishnan

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Analysing research trends and predicting their impact on academia and industry is crucial to gain a deeper understanding of the advances in a research field and to inform critical decisions about research funding and technology adoption. In…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Angelo Salatino , Andrea Mannocci , Francesco Osborne

Dynamic graphs serve as a generic abstraction and description of the evolutionary behaviors of various complex systems (e.g., social networks and communication networks). Temporal link prediction (TLP) is a classic yet challenging inference…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Meng Qin , Dit-Yan Yeung

A temporal graph can be considered as a stream of links, each of which represents an interaction between two nodes at a certain time. On temporal graphs, link prediction is a common task, which aims to answer whether the query link is true…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Bingqing Liu , Xikun Huang

Predicting the number of citations of scholarly documents is an upcoming task in scholarly document processing. Besides the intrinsic merit of this information, it also has a wider use as an imperfect proxy for quality which has the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Thomas van Dongen , Gideon Maillette de Buy Wenniger , Lambert Schomaker

There are fundamental differences between citation networks and other classes of graphs. In particular, given that citation networks are directed and acyclic, methods developed primarily for use with undirected social network data may face…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-08-17 Michael James Bommarito , Daniel Martin Katz , Jon Zelner

Due to the fact that the numbers of annually published papers have witnessed a linear growth in some citation networks, a geometric model is thus proposed to predict some statistical features of those networks, in which the academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-07 Qi Liu , Zheng Xie , Engming Dong , Jianping Li

One important task in the study of information cascade is to predict the future recipients of a message given its past spreading trajectory. While the network structure serves as the backbone of the spreading, an accurate prediction can…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Yansong Wang , Xiaomeng Wang , Radosław Michalski , Yijun Ran , Tao Jia

Assessing the influence of a scholar's work is an important task for funding organizations, academic departments, and researchers. Common methods, such as measures of citation counts, can ignore much of the nuance and multidimensionality of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Jason Portenoy , Jessica Hullman , Jevin D. West

Legal systems heavily rely on cross-citations of legal norms as well as previous court decisions. Practitioners, novices and legal AI systems need access to these relevant data to inform appraisals and judgments. We propose a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Lorenz Wendlinger , Simon Alexander Nonn , Abdullah Al Zubaer , Michael Granitzer

Link prediction in graphs is a task that has been widely investigated. It has been applied in various domains such as knowledge graph completion, content/item recommendation, social network recommendations and so on. The initial focus of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Nayana Bannur , Mashrin Srivastava , Harsha Vardhan

We propose a novel model-selection method for dynamic networks. Our approach involves training a classifier on a large body of synthetic network data. The data is generated by simulating nine state-of-the-art random graph models for dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Lourens Touwen , Doina Bucur , Remco van der Hofstad , Alessandro Garavaglia , Nelly Litvak

The use of citation counts to assess the impact of research articles is well established. However, the citation impact of an article can only be measured several years after it has been published. As research articles are increasingly…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Tim Brody , Stevan Harnad

Many real-world complex systems, such as epidemic spreading networks and ecosystems, can be modeled as networked dynamical systems that produce multivariate time series. Learning the intrinsic dynamics from observational data is pivotal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Yanna Ding , Zijie Huang , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

Predicting highly-cited papers is a long-standing challenge due to the complex interactions of research content, scholarly communities, and temporal dynamics. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) raise the question of whether…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-21 Zhanshuo Ye , Yiming Hou , Rui Pan , Tianchen Gao , Hansheng Wang

The scientific impact of academic papers is influenced by intricate factors such as dynamic popularity and inherent contribution. Existing models typically rely on static graphs for citation count estimation, failing to differentiate among…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zhikai Xue , Guoxiu He , Zhuoren Jiang , Sichen Gu , Yangyang Kang , Star Zhao , Wei Lu

We propose a model for an evolving citation network that incorporates the citation pattern followed in a particular discipline. We define the citation pattern in a discipline by three factors. The average number of references per article,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Soma Sanyal

The study of temporal networks is motivated by the simple and important observation that just as network structure can affect dynamics, so can structure in time. Just as network topology can teach us about the system in question, so can its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-26 Petter Holme , Jari Saramäki

In many complex networks the vertices are ordered in time, and edges represent causal connections. We propose methods of analysing such directed acyclic graphs taking into account the constraints of causality and highlighting the causal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-07 James R. Clough , Jamie Gollings , Tamar V. Loach , Tim S. Evans