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In this article, we present a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting a latent health state from longitudinal clinical measurements. Model development is motivated by the need to integrate multiple sources of data to improve clinical…

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

In various biomedical studies, analysis often focuses on data magnitudes, particularly when algebraic signs are irrelevant or lost. For repeated measures studies involving magnitude outcomes, incorporating random effects is essential as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Wen Teng , Niall D. Ferguson , Ewan C. Goligher , Anna Heath

International comparisons of hierarchical time series data sets based on survey data, such as annual country-level estimates of school enrollment rates, can suffer from large amounts of missing data due to differing coverage of surveys…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Daphne H. Liu , Adrian E. Raftery

We develop methods for estimating the size of hard-to-reach populations from data collected using network-based questions on standard surveys. Such data arise by asking respondents how many people they know in a specific group (e.g., people…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Rachael Maltiel , Adrian E. Raftery , Tyler H. McCormick , Aaron J. Baraff

Exposure assessment in occupational epidemiology may involve multiple unknown quantities that are measured or reconstructed simultaneously for groups of workers and over several years. Additionally, exposures may be collected using…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-24 Raphael Rehms , Nicole Ellenbach , Veronika Deffner , Sabine Hoffmann

Indirect information on population size, like pellet counts or volunteer counts, is the main source of information in most ecological studies and applied population management situations. Often, such observations are treaded as if they were…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Jonas Wallin , Kjell Wallin

The task of clustering a set of objects based on multiple sources of data arises in several modern applications. We propose an integrative statistical model that permits a separate clustering of the objects for each data source. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Eric F. Lock , David B. Dunson

Missing data is a recurrent issue in epidemiology where the infection process may be partially observed. Approximate Bayesian Computation, an alternative to data imputation methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo integration, is proposed…

Applications · Statistics 2010-08-31 Michael G. B. Blum , Viet Chi Tran

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

The weighted sum method is a simple and widely used technique that scalarizes multiple conflicting objectives into a single objective function. It suffers from the problem of determining the appropriate weights corresponding to the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Romit S Beed , Sunita Sarkar , Arindam Roy , Durba Bhattacharya

Indirect standardization is widely used in disease mapping to control for confounding, but relies on restrictive assumptions that may bias estimates if violated. Using data on suicide-related emergency calls, this study highlights such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 J. Martín-Pozuelo , A. López-Quílez , X. Barber , M. Marco

Most conventional risk analysis methods rely on a single best estimate of exposure per person which does not allow for adjustment for exposure-related uncertainty. Here, we propose a Bayesian model averaging method to properly quantify the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-07 Deukwoo Kwon , F. Owen Hoffman , Brian E. Moroz , Steven L. Simon

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Microorganisms play critical roles in human health and disease. It is well known that microbes live in diverse communities in which they interact synergistically or antagonistically. Thus for estimating microbial associations with clinical…

Bayesian causal inference offers a principled approach to policy evaluation of proposed interventions on mediators or time-varying exposures. We outline a general approach to the estimation of causal quantities for settings with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Leah Comment , Brent A. Coull , Corwin Zigler , Linda Valeri

Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

We analyze binary data, available for a relatively large number (big data) of families (or households), which are within small areas, from a population-based survey. Inference is required for the finite population proportion of individuals…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-04 Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen , Shuting Fu , Binod Manandhar

Evidence-based knowledge of infectious disease burden, including prevalence, incidence, severity and transmission, in different population strata and locations, and possibly in real time, is crucial to the planning and evaluation of public…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Daniela De Angelis , Anne M. Presanis

Software is highly contextual. While there are cross-cutting `global' lessons, individual software projects exhibit many `local' properties. This data heterogeneity makes drawing local conclusions from global data dangerous. A key research…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Neil A. Ernst
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