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Financial market forecasting is inherently uncertain, yet most deep learning approaches rely on point predictions that provide only single-value estimates without quantifying uncertainty. Such predictions are insufficient for risk-aware…

Traffic forecasting is a particularly challenging application of spatiotemporal forecasting, due to the time-varying traffic patterns and the complicated spatial dependencies on road networks. To address this challenge, we learn the traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Zhiyong Cui , Kristian Henrickson , Ruimin Ke , Ziyuan Pu , Yinhai Wang

This paper proposes the fine-grained traffic prediction task (e.g. interval between data points is 1 minute), which is essential to traffic-related downstream applications. Under this setting, traffic flow is highly influenced by traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Zhanyu Liu , Chumeng Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Hua Wei

Urban traffic speed prediction aims to estimate the future traffic speed for improving urban transportation services. Enormous efforts have been made to exploit Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for modeling spatial correlations and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Yicheng Zhou , Pengfei Wang , Hao Dong , Denghui Zhang , Dingqi Yang , Yanjie Fu , Pengyang Wang

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been extensively used in various real-world applications. However, the predictive uncertainty of GNNs stemming from diverse sources such as inherent randomness in data and model training errors can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Fangxin Wang , Yuqing Liu , Kay Liu , Yibo Wang , Sourav Medya , Philip S. Yu

We consider the problem of learning a graph from a finite set of noisy graph signal observations, the goal of which is to find a smooth representation of the graph signal. Such a problem is motivated by the desire to infer relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Xiaolu Wang , Yuen-Man Pun , Anthony Man-Cho So

This paper studies the problem of traffic flow forecasting, which aims to predict future traffic conditions on the basis of road networks and traffic conditions in the past. The problem is typically solved by modeling complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Yusheng Zhao , Xiao Luo , Wei Ju , Chong Chen , Xian-Sheng Hua , Ming Zhang

Real-time and precise traffic flow prediction is vital for the efficiency of intelligent transportation systems. Traditional methods often employ graph neural networks (GNNs) with predefined graphs to describe spatial correlations among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Ben-Ao Dai , Bao-Lin Ye , Lingxi Li

Real-time traffic prediction from high-fidelity spatiotemporal traffic sensor datasets is an important problem for intelligent transportation systems and sustainability. However, it is challenging due to the complex topological dependencies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Dingxiong Deng , Cyrus Shahabi , Ugur Demiryurek , Linhong Zhu , Rose Yu , Yan Liu

In order to plan a safe maneuver an autonomous vehicle must accurately perceive its environment, and understand the interactions among traffic participants. In this paper, we aim to learn scene-consistent motion forecasts of complex urban…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Sergio Casas , Cole Gulino , Simon Suo , Katie Luo , Renjie Liao , Raquel Urtasun

Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Traffic speed forecasting is an important task in intelligent transportation system management. The objective of much of the current computational research is to minimize the difference between predicted and actual speeds, but information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Yuanjie Lu , Amarda Shehu , David Lattanzi

Deep neural networks are being increasingly used for short-term traffic flow prediction, which can be generally categorized as convolutional (CNNs) or graph neural networks (GNNs). CNNs are preferable for region-wise traffic prediction by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-12 Wei Zeng , Chengqiao Lin , Kang Liu , Juncong Lin , Anthony K. H. Tung

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have advanced spatiotemporal forecasting by leveraging relational inductive biases among sensors (or any other measuring scheme) represented as nodes in a graph. However, current methods often rely on Recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Aref Einizade , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jhony H. Giraldo

Traffic forecasting as a canonical task of multivariate time series forecasting has been a significant research topic in AI community. To address the spatio-temporal heterogeneity and non-stationarity implied in the traffic stream, in this…

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

Traffic prediction is a spatiotemporal predictive task that plays an essential role in intelligent transportation systems. Today, graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have become the prevailing models in the traffic prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Ta Jiun Ting , Xiaocan Li , Scott Sanner , Baher Abdulhai

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

The application of neural network models to scientific machine learning tasks has proliferated in recent years. In particular, neural network models have proved to be adept at modeling processes with spatial-temporal complexity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jeremiah Hauth , Cosmin Safta , Xun Huan , Ravi G. Patel , Reese E. Jones

Urban traffic flow prediction using data-driven models can play an important role in route planning and preventing congestion on highways. These methods utilize data collected from traffic recording stations at different timestamps to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Mehdi Mehdipour Ghazi , Amin Ramezani , Mehdi Siahi , Mostafa Mehdipour Ghazi