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Forecasting traffic flows is a central task in intelligent transportation system management. Graph structures have shown promise as a modeling framework, with recent advances in spatio-temporal modeling via graph convolution neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Yuanjie Lu , Parastoo Kamranfar , David Lattanzi , Amarda Shehu

Urban road-based risk prediction is a crucial yet challenging aspect of research in transportation safety. While most existing studies emphasize accurate prediction, they often overlook the importance of model uncertainty. In this paper, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Xiaowei Gao , James Haworth , Dingyi Zhuang , Huanfa Chen , Xinke Jiang

Accurately forecasting traffic flows is critically important to many real applications including public safety and intelligent transportation systems. The challenges of this problem include both the dynamic mobility patterns of the people…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Hao Miao , Senzhang Wang , Meiyue Zhang , Diansheng Guo , Funing Sun , Fan Yang

Thanks to the diffusion of the Internet of Things, nowadays it is possible to sense human mobility almost in real time using unconventional methods (e.g., number of bikes in a bike station). Due to the diffusion of such technologies, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Marco Cardia , Massimiliano Luca , Luca Pappalardo

Traffic forecasting has attracted widespread attention recently. In reality, traffic data usually contains missing values due to sensor or communication errors. The Spatio-temporal feature in traffic data brings more challenges for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Jingwei Zuo , Karine Zeitouni , Yehia Taher , Sandra Garcia-Rodriguez

Graph Neural Networks have achieved impressive results across diverse network modeling tasks, but accurately estimating uncertainty on graphs remains difficult, especially under distributional shifts. Unlike traditional uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Fred Xu , Thomas Markovich

In this work, a novel approach for the construction and training of time series models is presented that deals with the problem of learning on large time series with non-equispaced observations, which at the same time may possess features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Charilaos Mylonas , Eleni Chatzi

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) provide a powerful framework that elegantly integrates Graph theory with Machine learning for modeling and analysis of networked data. We consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in predictions of GNN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Sai Munikoti , Deepesh Agarwal , Laya Das , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Accurate prediction of network-wide traffic conditions is essential for intelligent transportation systems. In the last decade, machine learning techniques have been widely used for this task, resulting in state-of-the-art performance. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Lei Lin , Weizi Li , Lei Zhu

Accurate and reliable prediction has profound implications to a wide range of applications. In this study, we focus on an instance of spatio-temporal learning problem--traffic prediction--to demonstrate an advanced deep learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Pingping Dong , Xiao-Lin Wang , Indranil Bose , Kam K. H. Ng , Xiaoning Zhang , Xiaoge Zhang

Traffic prediction has been an active research topic in the domain of spatial-temporal data mining. Accurate real-time traffic prediction is essential to improve the safety, stability, and versatility of smart city systems, i.e., traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Xunlian Luo , Chunjiang Zhu , Detian Zhang , Qing Li

Traffic state prediction in a transportation network is paramount for effective traffic operations and management, as well as informed user and system-level decision-making. However, long-term traffic prediction (beyond 30 minutes into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Bin Lei , Shaoyi Huang , Caiwen Ding , Monika Filipovska

This paper proposes a deep learning approach for traffic flow prediction in complex road networks. Traffic flow data from induction loop sensors are essentially a time series, which is also spatially related to traffic in different road…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Youngjoo Kim , Peng Wang , Yifei Zhu , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Traffic forecasting problem remains a challenging task in the intelligent transportation system due to its spatio-temporal complexity. Although temporal dependency has been well studied and discussed, spatial dependency is relatively less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-27 Yuyol Shin , Yoonjin Yoon

When employing deep neural networks (DNNs) for semantic segmentation in safety-critical applications like automotive perception or medical imaging, it is important to estimate their performance at runtime, e.g. via uncertainty estimates or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Edgar Heinert , Stephan Tilgner , Timo Palm , Matthias Rottmann

Graph-based spatio-temporal neural networks are effective to model the spatial dependency among discrete points sampled irregularly from unstructured grids, thanks to the great expressiveness of graph neural networks. However, these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Haitao Lin , Guojiang Zhao , Lirong Wu , Stan Z. Li

Spatio-temporal signals forecasting plays an important role in numerous domains, especially in neuroscience and transportation. The task is challenging due to the highly intricate spatial structure, as well as the non-linear temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Duc Thien Nguyen , Manh Duc Tuan Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Risi Kondor

Achieving accurate traffic prediction is a fundamental but crucial task in the development of current intelligent transportation systems.Most of the mainstream methods that have made breakthroughs in traffic prediction rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Guangyin Jin , Sicong Lai , Xiaoshuai Hao , Mingtao Zhang , Jinlei Zhang

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates