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The Sun provides an excellent natural laboratory for nonlinear phenomena. We use motions of magnetic bright points on the solar surface, at the smallest scales yet observed, to study the small scale dynamics of the photospheric plasma. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 J. K. Lawrence , A. C. Cadavid , A. Ruzmaikin , T. E. Berger

There is a great need to accurately predict short-term precipitation, which has socioeconomic effects such as agriculture and disaster prevention. Recently, the forecasting models have employed multi-source data as the multi-modality input,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-12 Min Chen , Hao Yang , Shaohan Li , Xiaolin Qin

Climate models are essential for understanding large-scale climate dynamics and long-term climate change, yet they exhibit systematic biases when compared with historical observations. Existing multivariate bias correction (MBC) approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Theresa Meier , Erwan Koch , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Thibault Vatter

Accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are often of interest in air pollution studies on fine particulate matters (PM$_{2.5}$), in which data is usually not measured at all study locations. PM$_{2.5}$ is also a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Phuong T. Vu , Timothy V. Larson , Adam A. Szpiro

Planetary Climate Models (PCMs) are developed to explore planetary climates other than the Earth. Therefore, the methods implemented need to be suitable for a large diversity of conditions. Every planet with a significant atmosphere has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-05 João M. Mendonça

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Soil moisture is an important component of precision agriculture as it directly impacts the growth and quality of vegetation. Forecasting soil moisture is essential to schedule the irrigation and optimize the use of water. Physics based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Anoushka Vyas , Sambaran Bandyopadhyay

We study the evolution of continental, zonal and seasonal land temperature anomalies especially in the early 20th century warming (ETCW) period, using principal component analysis (PCA) and reverse arrangement trend analysis. ETCW is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-27 Jouni Takalo , Kalevi Mursula

Principal Geodesic Analysis (PGA) is applied to a climate time series. First, we transform each multidimensional sequence into the path signature. Since the signature lives in a curved space, usual principal component analysis (PCA) is not…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-11 Nozomi Sugiura

The surface soil moisture is a key variable to describe the exchange of water and energy between the land and the atmosphere. In hydrology, and meteorology, the amount of water in the upper soil layers permits (0-5 cm from the surface) the…

In the era of climate change, the distribution of climate variables evolves with changes not limited to the mean value. Consequently, clustering algorithms based on central tendency could produce misleading results when used to summarize…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Carlo Gaetan , Paolo Girardi , Victor Muthama Musau

Given inputs of diverse soil characteristics and climate data gathered from various regions, we aimed to build a model to predict accurate land emissions. The problem is important since accurate quantification of the carbon cycle in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Arun Sharma , Majid Farhadloo , Mingzhou Yang , Ruolei Zeng , Subhankar Ghosh , Shashi Shekhar

Simulation of rainfall over a region for long time-sequences can be very useful for planning and policy-making, especially in India where the economy is heavily reliant on monsoon rainfall. However, such simulations should be able to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-04 Adway Mitra

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

Soil moisture estimation is an important task to enable precision agriculture in creating optimal plans for irrigation, fertilization, and harvest. It is common to utilize statistical and machine learning models to estimate soil moisture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Mohammed Rakib , Adil Aman Mohammed , D. Cole Diggins , Sumit Sharma , Jeff Michael Sadler , Tyson Ochsner , Arun Bagavathi

Soil moisture conditions can influence the evolution of a tropical cyclone (TC) that is partially or completely over land. Hence, better constraining soil moisture initial conditions in a numerical weather prediction model can potentially…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-01 Jana Kolassa , Manisha Ganeshan , Erica McGrath-Spangler , Oreste Reale , Rolf Reichle , Sara Q. Zhang

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

Given the growing environmental challenges, accurate monitoring and prediction of changes in water bodies are essential for sustainable management and conservation. The Continuous Monitoring of Land Disturbance (COLD) algorithm provides a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Huong Pham , Samuel Cheng , Tao Hu , Chengbin Deng

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki
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