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The evaluation of modelled or satellite-derived soil moisture (SM) estimates is usually dependent on comparisons against in-situ SM measurements. However, the inherent mismatch in spatial support (i.e., scale) necessitates a cautious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Yi Yu , Brendan P. Malone , Luigi J. Renzullo

Soil moisture dynamics provide an indicator of soil health that scientists model via drydown curves. The typical modelling process requires the soil moisture time series to be manually separated into drydown segments and then exponential…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-31 Mengyi Gong , Rebecca Killick , Christopher Nemeth , John Quinton

Earth System Models (ESM) are important tools that allow us to understand and quantify the physical, chemical & biological mechanisms governing the rates of change of elements of the Earth System, comprising of the atmosphere, ocean, land,…

Modern data analysis across diverse disciplines increasingly relies on time series. Many of these datasets exhibit cyclostationarity, where patterns approximately repeat in a regular manner, often across multiple time scales, such as daily,…

State-space models (SSMs) are an important modeling framework for analyzing ecological time series. These hierarchical models are commonly used to model population dynamics, animal movement, and capture-recapture data, and are now…

Understanding the dynamics of the land-atmosphere exchange of CO$_2$ is key to advance our predictive capacities of the coupled climate-carbon feedback system. In essence, the net vegetation flux is the difference of the uptake of CO$_2$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Leonard Schulz , Jürgen Vollmer , Miguel D. Mahecha , Karin Mora

Soils have been heralded as a hidden resource that can be leveraged to mitigate and address some of the major global environmental challenges. Specifically, the organic carbon stored in soils, called Soil Organic Carbon (SOC), can, through…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 Marco H. Benedetti , Veronica J. Berrocal , Naveen N. Narisetty

Effective management of environmental resources and agricultural sustainability heavily depends on accurate soil moisture data. However, datasets like the SMAP/Sentinel-1 soil moisture product often contain missing values across their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Kehui Yao , Jingyi Huang , Jun Zhu

Statistical methods are required to evaluate and quantify the uncertainty in environmental processes, such as land and sea surface temperature, in a changing climate. Typically, annual harmonics are used to characterize the variation in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Joshua S. North , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle

A proper description of ocean-atmosphere interactions is key for a correct understanding of climate evolution. The interplay among the different variables acting over the climate is complex, often leading to correlations across long spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-11 Niclas Rieger , Álvaro Corral , Estrella Olmedo , Antonio Turiel

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) and pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean with a period of 2-7 years. As the largest mode of interannual variability on Earth, ENSO shapes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 PJ Tuckman , Da Yang

This paper presents a novel spatio-temporal LSTM (SPATIAL) architecture for time series forecasting applied to environmental datasets. The framework was evaluated across multiple sensors and for three different oceanic variables: current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-27 Yihao Hu , Fearghal O'Donncha , Paulito Palmes , Meredith Burke , Ramon Filgueira , Jon Grant

In climate studies, detecting spatial patterns that largely deviate from the sample mean still remains a statistical challenge. Although a Principal Component Analysis (PCA), or equivalently a Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Alberto Bernacchia , Philippe Naveau

Spatiotemporal simulation of minimum and maximum temperature is a fundamental requirement for climate impact studies and hydrological or agricultural models. Particularly over regions with variable orography, these simulations are difficult…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-03 William Kleiber , Richard W. Katz , Balaji Rajagopalan

Accurate and high-resolution Earth system model (ESM) simulations are essential to assess the ecological and socio-economic impacts of anthropogenic climate change, but are computationally too expensive to be run at sufficiently high…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Philipp Hess , Michael Aich , Baoxiang Pan , Niklas Boers

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

This work investigates climate--projections over a transitional region between dry and wet climates, the Iberian Peninsula (IP). With this purpose, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, driven CCSM4 and MPI-ESM-LR GCMs…

We propose novel methods for predictive (sparse) PCA with spatially misaligned data. These methods identify principal component loading vectors that explain as much variability in the observed data as possible, while also ensuring the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-04 Roman A. Jandarov , Lianne A. Sheppard , Paul D. Sampson , Adam A. Szpiro

Soil moisture is an important variable that determines floods, vegetation health, agriculture productivity, and land surface feedbacks to the atmosphere, etc. Accurately modeling soil moisture has important implications in both weather and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Kuai Fang , Chaopeng Shen , Daniel Kifer