Related papers: A surrogate-based approach to nonlinear, non-Gauss…
An Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF, the predictor) is used make a large change in the state, followed by a Particle Filer (PF, the corrector) which assigns importance weights to describe non-Gaussian distribution. The weights are obtained by…
Nonlinear filtering with standard PF methods requires mitigative techniques to quell weight degeneracy, such as resampling. This is especially true in high-dimensional systems with sparse observations. Unfortunately, such techniques are…
Particle filters (also called sequential Monte Carlo methods) are widely used for state and parameter estimation problems in the context of nonlinear evolution equations. The recently proposed ensemble transform particle filter (ETPF)…
The particle filter is one of the most successful methods for state inference and identification of general non-linear and non-Gaussian models. However, standard particle filters suffer from degeneracy of the particle weights, in particular…
Particle filters are a group of algorithms to solve inverse problems through statistical Bayesian methods when the model does not comply with the linear and Gaussian hypothesis. Particle filters are used in domains like data assimilation,…
We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…
Data assimilation (DA) addresses the problem of sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations. In this work, we employ a diffusion model as a world model to simulate and predict the system's…
Estimation of a dynamical system's latent state subject to sensor noise and model inaccuracies remains a critical yet difficult problem in robotics. While Kalman filters provide the optimal solution in the least squared sense for linear and…
Model error covariances play a central role in the performance of data assimilation methods applied to nonlinear state-space models. However, these covariances are largely unknown in most of the applications. A misspecification of the model…
Ensemble methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are widely used for data assimilation in large-scale geophysical applications, as for example in numerical weather prediction (NWP). There is a growing interest for physical models…
We present a particle filtering algorithm for stochastic models on infinite dimensional state space, making use of Girsanov perturbations to nudge the ensemble of particles into regions of higher likelihood. We argue that the optimal…
We propose a novel method for maximum likelihood-based parameter inference in nonlinear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. The method is an iterative procedure with three steps. At each iteration a particle filter is used to estimate…
Data assimilation is a Bayesian inference process that obtains an enhanced understanding of a physical system of interest by fusing information from an inexact physics-based model, and from noisy sparse observations of reality. The…
Data assimilation aims to estimate the states of a dynamical system by optimally combining sparse and noisy observations of the physical system with uncertain forecasts produced by a computational model. The states of many dynamical systems…
Particle and ensemble filters are increasingly utilized for inference, optimization, and forecast; however, both filtering methods use discrete distributions to simulate continuous state space, a drawback that can lead to degraded…
In this study, we explore data assimilation for the Stochastic Camassa-Holm equation through the application of the particle filtering framework. Specifically, our approach integrates adaptive tempering, jittering, and nudging techniques to…
Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…
Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…
Particle filters for data assimilation in nonlinear problems use "particles" (replicas of the underlying system) to generate a sequence of probability density functions (pdfs) through a Bayesian process. This can be expensive because a…
We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…