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In this paper we study the almost sure central limit theorem started from a point for additive functionals of a stationary and ergodic Markov chain via a martingale approximation in the almost sure sense. As a consequence we derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-26 Christophe Cuny , Magda Peligrad

We construct a Markov process model to describe the evolution of labor division and its dynamical behavior is investigated by numerical simulations in detail. We have shown that under the mechanism of increasing returns, the division of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Lei Chai , Dahui Wang , Jiawei Chen , Zengru Di

In this paper, we establish a spatial central limit theorem for a large class of supercritical branching, not necessarily symmetric, Markov processes with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang

We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Benoît Henry

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

Consider the continuous-time Markov Branching Process. In critical case we consider a situation when the generating function of intensity of transformation of particles has the infinite second moment, but its tail regularly varies in sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Azam Imomov

We revisit functional central limit theorems for additive functionals of ergodic Markov diffusion processes. Translated in the language of partial differential equations of evolution, they appear as diffusion limits in the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-06 Patrick Cattiaux , Djalil Chafai , Arnaud Guillin

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

Consider the barycentric subdivision which cuts a given triangle along its medians to produce six new triangles. Uniformly choosing one of them and iterating this procedure gives rise to a Markov chain. We show that almost surely, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Persi Diaconis , Laurent Miclo

The paper studies the higher-order absolute differences taken from progressive terms of time-homogenous binary Markov chains. Two theorems presented are the limiting theorems for these differences, when their order $k$ converges to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 A. Yu. Shahverdian

We study the exponential growth of bifurcating processes with ancestral dependence. We suppose here that the lifetimes of the cells are dependent random variables, that the numbers of new cells are random and dependent. Lifetimes and new…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Loïc Hervé , Sana Louhichi , Françoise Pène

The production of molecules in a chemical reaction network is modelled as a Poisson process with a Markov-modulated arrival rate and an exponential decay rate. We analyze the distributional properties of $M$, the number of molecules, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-17 D. Anderson , J. Blom , M. Mandjes , H. Thorsdottir , K. de Turck

We prove a central limit theorem for a general class of adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms driven by sub-geometrically ergodic Markov kernels. We discuss in detail the special case of stochastic approximation. We use the result to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 Yves F. Atchade , Gersende Fort

We consider the Fleming--Viot particle system associated with a continuous-time Markov chain in a finite space. Assuming irreducibility, it is known that the particle system possesses a unique stationary distribution, under which its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Tony Lelievre , Loucas Pillaud-Vivien , Julien Reygner

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Reza Mohammadi , Matthew Pratola , Maurits Kaptein

Branching processes are classical growth models in cell kinetics. In their construction, it is usually assumed that cell lifetimes are independent random variables, which has been proved false in experiments. Models of dependent lifetimes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-02 Sana Louhichi , Bernard Ycart

In this paper we survey the almost sure central limit theorem and its functional form (quenched) for stationary and ergodic processes. For additive functionals of a stationary and ergodic Markov chain these theorems are known under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Magda Peligrad

This paper considers cluster detection in Block Markov Chains (BMCs). These Markov chains are characterized by a block structure in their transition matrix. More precisely, the $n$ possible states are divided into a finite number of $K$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Jaron Sanders , Alexandre Proutière , Se-Young Yun

This paper aims to establish a central limit theorem for Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed under a very general assumption on quasi-stationarity for the underlying process. To do so, a central limit theorem has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-31 William Oçafrain

In this note we re-visit the fundamental question of the strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem for processes in continuous time with conditional stationary and independent increments. For convenience we refer to them as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Victor Rivero