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Evaluating a country's sporting success provides insight into its decision-making and infrastructure for developing athletic talent. The Olympic Games serve as a global benchmark, yet conventional medal rankings can be unduly influenced by…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-17 Cormac MacDermott , Carl J. Scarrott , John Ferguson

Three state-of-the-art statistical ranking methods for forecasting football matches are combined with several other predictors in a hybrid machine learning model. Namely an ability estimate for every team based on historic matches; an…

Inspired by the Games held in ancient Greece, modern Olympics represent the world's largest pageant of athletic skill and competitive spirit. Performances of athletes at the Olympic Games mirror, since 1896, human potentialities in sports,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-16 Filippo Radicchi

Several ways used to rank countries with respect to medals won during Olympic Games are discussed. In particular, it is shown that the unofficial rank used by the Olympic Committee is the only rank that does not allow one to use a numerical…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Yaroslav D. Sergeyev

This paper proposes a novel hybrid model, STGCN-LSTM, to forecast Olympic medal distributions by integrating the spatio-temporal relationships among countries and the long-term dependencies of national performance. The Spatial-Temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Yiquan Wang , Jiaying Wang , Tin-Yeh Huang , Jingyi Yang , Zihao Xu

Forecasting sporting events encapsulate a compelling intellectual endeavor, underscored by the substantial financial activity of an estimated $80 billion wagered in global sports betting during 2022, a trend that grows yearly. Motivated by…

Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

In this paper, we propose a machine learning technics and SIR models (deterministic and stochastic cases) with numerical approximations to predict the number of cases infected with the COVID-19, for both in few days and the following three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-29 Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye , Lena Tendeng , Diaraf Seck

The COVID-19 pandemic has, worldwide and up to December 2020, caused over 1.7 million deaths, and put the world's most advanced healthcare systems under heavy stress. In many countries, drastic restrictive measures adopted by political…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Giovanni Soldi , Nicola Forti , Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Stefano Marano , Peter Willett , Krishna Pattipati

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

The impact of predictive algorithms on people's lives and livelihoods has been noted in medicine, criminal justice, finance, hiring and admissions. Most of these algorithms are developed using data and human capital from highly developed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Xingyu Li , Difan Song , Miaozhe Han , Yu Zhang , Rene F. Kizilcec

Since the first outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic at the end of 2019, data has been made available on the number of infections, deaths and recoveries for all countries of the World, and that data can be used for statistical analysis. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Dávid Tátrai , Zoltán Várallyay

In this work, three fundamentally different machine learning models are combined to create a new, joint model for forecasting the UEFA EURO 2024. Therefore, a generalized linear model, a random forest model, and a extreme gradient boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Andreas Groll , Lars M. Hvattum , Christophe Ley , Jonas Sternemann , Gunther Schauberger , Achim Zeileis

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

COVID-19 is a global health crisis that has had unprecedented, widespread impact on households across the United States and has been declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO) [1]. According to Centers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Harshvardhan Uppaluru , Hamid Emadi , Hossein Rastgoftar

The "Olympic Agenda 2020" stresses the urgency of measuring the impact of the Olympic Games on host cities in the face of declining bids. This paper presents the Hosting the Olympics Influence Evaluation Model (HOIEM) to assess these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Wenlin Luo , Chenghui Li

The spread of COVID-19 during the initial phase of the first half of 2020 was curtailed to a larger or lesser extent through measures of social distancing imposed by most countries. In this work, we link directly, through machine learning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-20 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting more than 200 countries and territories worldwide. As of September 30, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 33…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh , Tirna Mahajan , Tejasvi Arora

In this investigation I used the Logistic Model to fit the COVID-19 pandemic data for some countries. The data modeled is the death numbers per day in China, Iran, Italy, South Korea, Spain and United States. Considering the current growth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-22 Apiano F. Morais

In the Olympic Games, professional athletes representing their nations compete regardless of economic, political and cultural differences. In this study, we apply gravity model to observe characteristics, represented by distances among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-17 Hyeseung Choi , Hyungsoo Woo , Ji-Hyun Kim , Jae-Suk Yang
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