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Community recovery from hazards and crises occurs through various diffusion processes within social and spatial networks of communities. Existing knowledge regarding the diffusion of recovery in community socio-spatial networks, however, is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Chia-Fu Liu , Ali Mostafavi

Hourly predictions are critical for issuing flood warnings as the flood peaks on the hourly scale can be distinctly higher than the corresponding daily ones. Currently a popular hourly data-driven prediction scheme is multi-time-scale long…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-10 Wencong Yang , Haoyu Ji , Leo Lonzarich , Yalan Song , Chaopeng Shen

Real-time urban climate monitoring provides useful information that can be utilized to help monitor and adapt to extreme events, including urban heatwaves. Typical approaches to the monitoring of climate data include weather station…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-18 Yoshiki Yamagata , Daisuke Murakami , Gareth W. Peters , Tomoko Matsui

Mumbai, a densely populated city, experiences frequent extreme rainfall events leading to floods and waterlogging. However, the lack of real-time flood monitoring and detailed past flooding data limits the scientific analysis to extreme…

Predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling is quantified by using post-processing or Bayesian-based methods. The former methods are not straightforward and the latter ones are not distribution-free (i.e. assumptions on the probability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

This paper presents a modeling approach for probabilistic estimation of hurricane wind-induced damage to infrastructural assets. In our approach, we employ a Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process (NHPP) model for estimating spatially-varying…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Derek Chang , Kerry Emanuel , Saurabh Amin

Floods can be very destructive causing heavy damage to life, property, and livelihoods. Global climate change and the consequent sea-level rise have increased the occurrence of extreme weather events, resulting in elevated and frequent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Zhaonan Wang , Shaowen Wang , Giri Narasimhan

One measurement modality for rainfall is a fixed location rain gauge. However, extreme rainfall, flooding, and other climate extremes often occur at larger spatial scales and affect more than one location in a community. For example, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Carlynn Fagnant , Julia C. Schedler , Katherine B. Ensor

We introduce an ensemble learning post-processing methodology for probabilistic hydrological modelling. This methodology generates numerous point predictions by applying a single hydrological model, yet with different parameter values drawn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Demetris Koutsoyiannis , Alberto Montanari

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

Computational complexity has been the bottleneck of applying physically-based simulations on large urban areas with high spatial resolution for efficient and systematic flooding analyses and risk assessments. To address this issue of long…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Zifeng Guo , Joao P. Leitao , Nuno E. Simoes , Vahid Moosavi

This paper analyses social media data in multiple disaster-related collections of floods and heat waves in the UK. The proposed method uses machine learning classifiers based on deep bidirectional neural networks trained on benchmark…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Victor Ponce-López , Catalina Spataru

We study the extent to which we can infer users' geographical locations from social media. Location inference from social media can benefit many applications, such as disaster management, targeted advertising, and news content tailoring.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Yujie Qian , Jie Tang , Zhilin Yang , Binxuan Huang , Wei Wei , Kathleen M. Carley

Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Chelsea Sidrane , Dylan J Fitzpatrick , Andrew Annex , Diane O'Donoghue , Yarin Gal , Piotr Biliński

In many Twitter studies, it is important to know where a tweet came from in order to use the tweet content to study regional user behavior. However, researchers using Twitter to understand user behavior often lack sufficient geo-tagged…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-21 Binxuan Huang , Kathleen M. Carley

Disaster Management is one of the most promising research areas because of its significant economic, environmental and social repercussions. This research focuses on analyzing different types of data (pre and post satellite images and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Sukeerthi Mandyam , Shanmuga Priya MG , Shalini Suresh , Kavitha Srinivasan

While keyphrase extraction has received considerable attention in recent years, relatively few studies exist on extracting keyphrases from social media platforms such as Twitter, and even fewer for extracting disaster-related keyphrases…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Jishnu Ray Chowdhury , Cornelia Caragea , Doina Caragea

Tweet hashtags have the potential to improve the search for information during disaster events. However, there is a large number of disaster-related tweets that do not have any user-provided hashtags. Moreover, only a small number of tweets…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Jishnu Ray Chowdhury , Cornelia Caragea , Doina Caragea

We present a hierarchical model of non-homogeneous Poisson processes (NHPP) for information diffusion on online social media, in particular Twitter retweets. The retweets of each original tweet are modelled by a NHPP, for which the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-01 Clement Lee , Darren J Wilkinson

Understanding flood probabilities is essential to making sound decisions about flood-risk management. Many people rely on flood probability maps to inform decisions about purchasing flood insurance, buying or selling real-estate,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Mahkameh Zarekarizi , K. Joel Roop-Eckart , Sanjib Sharma , Klaus Keller