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Related papers: Predicting the Evolution of Photospheric Magnetic …

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To create early warning capabilities for upcoming Space Weather disturbances, we have selected a dataset of 61 emerging active regions, which allows us to identify characteristic features in the evolution of acoustic power density to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Spiridon Kasapis , Irina N. Kitiashvili , Alexander G. Kosovichev , John T. Stefan , Bhairavi Apte

We developed Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models to predict the formation of active regions (ARs) on the solar surface. Using the Doppler shift velocity, the continuum intensity, and the magnetic field observations from the Solar Dynamics…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-27 Spiridon Kasapis , Irina N. Kitiashvili , Alexander G. Kosovichev , John T. Stefan

Solar active regions (ARs) are the primary drivers of space weather events, making their early prediction crucial for operational forecasting systems. We develop machine learning models capable of predicting the evolution of magnetic flux…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Eren Dogan , Spiridon Kasapis , Sarang Patil , Jonas Tirona , John Stefan , Irina Kitiashvili , Mengjia Xu , Alexander Kosovichev

Investigating the solar magnetic field is crucial to understand the physical processes in the solar interior as well as their effects on the interplanetary environment. We introduce a novel method to predict the evolution of the solar…

We introduce a novel deep learning framework based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict galactic cosmic-ray spectra on a one-day-ahead basis by leveraging historical solar activity data, overcoming limitations inherent in…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-01-13 Yi-Lun Du , Xiaojian Song , Xi Luo

A deep learning network, Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network, is used in this work to predict whether the maximum flare class an active region (AR) will produce in the next 24 hours is class $\Gamma$. We considered $\Gamma$ are $\ge M$,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-27 Xiantong Wang , Yang Chen , Gabor Toth , Ward B. Manchester , Tamas I. Gombosi , Alfred O. Hero , Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Meng Jin , Yang Liu

In this dataset we provide a comprehensive collection of magnetograms (images quantifying the strength of the magnetic field) from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA's) Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). The dataset…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-13 Laura E. Boucheron , Ty Vincent , Jeremy A. Grajeda , Ellery Wuest

Solar activity is usually caused by the evolution of solar magnetic fields. Magnetic field parameters derived from photospheric vector magnetograms of solar active regions have been used to analyze and forecast eruptive events such as solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Haodi Jiang , Qin Li , Zhihang Hu , Nian Liu , Yasser Abduallah , Ju Jing , Genwei Zhang , Yan Xu , Wynne Hsu , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Modeling and forecasting the solar wind-driven global magnetic field perturbations is an open challenge. Current approaches depend on simulations of computationally demanding models like the Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model or sampling…

We attempt to forecast M-and X-class solar flares using a machine-learning algorithm, called Support Vector Machine (SVM), and four years of data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager, the first instrument…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-01-09 Monica G. Bobra , Sebastien Couvidat

Large scale solar eruptions significantly impact space weather and damages space-based human infrastructures. It is necessary to predict large scale solar eruptions, which will enable us to protect our vulnerable infrastructures of modern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-08 Soumitra Hazra , Gopal Sardar , Partha Choudhuri

Models for the evolution of the solar coronal magnetic field are vital for understanding solar activity, yet the best measurements of magnetic field lie at the photosphere, necessitating the development of coronal models which are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-05 James E. Leake , Mark G. Linton , Peter W. Schuck

Among several heliophysical and geophysical quantities, the accurate evolution of the solar irradiance is fundamental to forecast the evolution of the neutral and ionized components of the Earth's atmosphere.We developed an artificial…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-23 Luis Eduardo A. Vieira , Thierry Dudok de Wit , Matthieu Kretzschmar

Machine learning techniques have been widely used in attempts to forecast several solar datasets. Most of these approaches employ supervised machine learning algorithms which are, in general, very data hungry. This hampers the attempts to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-07 Eurico Covas

The most violent space weather events (eruptive solar flares and coronal mass ejections) are driven by the release of free magnetic energy stored in the solar corona. Energy can build up on timescales of hours to days, and then may be…

The solar active region photospheric magnetic field evolves rapidly during major eruptive events, suggesting appreciable feedback from the corona. Previous studies of these "magnetic imprints" are mostly based on line-of-sight only or…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-26 Xudong Sun , J. Todd Hoeksema , Yang Liu , Maria Kazachenko , Ruizhu Chen

We present a method for performing data-driven simulations of solar active region formation and evolution. The approach is based on magnetofriction, which evolves the induction equation assuming the plasma velocity is proportional to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Mark C. M. Cheung , Marc L. DeRosa

We present a long short-term memory (LSTM) network for predicting whether an active region (AR) would produce a gamma-class flare within the next 24 hours. We consider three gamma classes, namely >=M5.0 class, >=M class, and >=C class, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-06 Hao Liu , Chang Liu , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Predicting the short-term power output of a photovoltaic panel is an important task for the efficient management of smart grids. Short-term forecasting at the minute scale, also known as nowcasting, can benefit from sky images captured by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Jinsong Zhang , Rodrigo Verschae , Shohei Nobuhara , Jean-François Lalonde

Transition region explosive events have long been suggested as direct signatures of magnetic reconnection in the solar atmosphere. In seeking further observational evidence to support this interpretation, we study the relation between…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 K. Muglach
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