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This paper addresses the advancement of probability tail bound analysis, a crucial statistical tool for assessing the probability of large deviations of random variables from their expected values. Traditional tail bounds, such as Markov's,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Shih-Yu Chang

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

We consider the problem of inference on the signs of $n>1$ parameters. We aim to provide $1-\alpha$ post-hoc confidence bounds on the number of positive and negative (or non-positive) parameters. The guarantee is simultaneous, for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Ruth Heller , Aldo Solari

We modify Talagrand's generic chaining method to obtain upper bounds for all p-th moments of the supremum of a stochastic process. These bounds lead to an estimate for the upper tail of the supremum with optimal deviation parameters. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Sjoerd Dirksen

We provide finite sample upper and lower bounds on the Binomial tail probability which are a direct application of Sanov's theorem. We then use these to obtain high probability upper and lower bounds on the minimum of i.i.d. Binomial random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

In this paper, we generalize and improve some fundamental concentration inequalities using information on the random variables' higher moments. In particular, we improve the classical Hoeffding's and Bennett's inequalities for the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Bar Light

We prove a Hopf's lemma in the point-wise sense. The essential technique is to prove $(-\Delta)^s_p u(x)$ is uniformly bounded in the unit ball $B_1\subset\mathbb{R}^n$, where $u(x)=(1-|x|^2)^s_{+}$. Also we study the global H\"older…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Zaizheng Li , Qidi Zhang

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Dominyka Kievinaitė , Jonas Šiaulys

A device-independent randomness expansion protocol aims to take an initial random string and generate a longer one, where the security of the protocol does not rely on knowing the inner workings of the devices used to run it. In order to do…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Rutvij Bhavsar , Sammy Ragy , Roger Colbeck

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

In the paper, the authors find the best numbers $\alpha$ and $\beta$ such that $$ \overline{C}\bigl(\alpha a+(1-\alpha)b,\alpha b+(1-\alpha)a\bigr)<T(a,b) <\overline{C}\bigl(\beta a+(1-\beta)b,\beta b+(1-\beta)a\bigr) $$ for all $a,b>0$…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Yun Hua , Feng Qi

We extend known saddlepoint tail probability approximations to multivariate cases, including multivariate conditional cases. Our approximation applies to both continuous and lattice variables, and requires the existence of a cumulant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 John Kolassa , Jixin Li

Recently, several studies consider the stochastic optimization problem but in a heavy-tailed noise regime, i.e., the difference between the stochastic gradient and the true gradient is assumed to have a finite $p$-th moment (say being upper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Zijian Liu , Zhengyuan Zhou

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

This paper develops asymptotic approximations of $P(\int_Te^{f(t)}\,dt>b)$ as $b\rightarrow\infty$ for a homogeneous smooth Gaussian random field, $f$, living on a compact $d$-dimensional Jordan measurable set $T$. The integral of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Jingchen Liu

Constant-stepsize stochastic approximation (SA) is widely used in learning for computational efficiency. For a fixed stepsize, the iterates typically admit a stationary distribution that is rarely tractable. Prior work shows that as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Zedong Wang , Yuyang Wang , Ijay Narang , Felix Wang , Yuzhou Wang , Siva Theja Maguluri

We present improved approximation bounds for the Moore-Penrose inverses of banded matrices, where the bandedness is induced by a metric on the index set. We show that the pseudoinverse of a banded matrix can be approximated by another…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Sungho Shin , Wallace Gian Yion Tan , Mihai Anitescu

We present new algorithms for online convex optimization over unbounded domains that obtain parameter-free regret in high-probability given access only to potentially heavy-tailed subgradient estimates. Previous work in unbounded domains…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Jiujia Zhang , Ashok Cutkosky

In this paper, we improve the well-known level-1 weight bound, also known as Chang's lemma, by using an induction method. Our bounds are close to optimal no matter when the set is large or small. Our bounds can be seen as bounds on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Lei Yu

We revisit and refine known tail inequalities and confidence bounds for the hypergeometric distribution, i.e., for the setting where we sample without replacement from a fixed population with binary values or properties. The results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Anne-Marie George
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