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On a finite graph, there is a natural family of Boltzmann probability measures on cycle-rooted spanning forests, parametrized by weights on cycles. For a certain subclass of those weights, we construct Gibbs measures in infinite volume, as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Héloïse Constantin

We establish a rigorous asymptotic theory for the joint estimation of roughness and scale parameters in two-dimensional Gaussian random fields with power-law generalized covariances \cite{Matheron1973, Stein1999, Yaglom1987}. Our main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Varun Kotharkar , Michael L. Stein

Two canonical problems in geostatistics are estimating the parameters in a specified family of stochastic process models and predicting the process at new locations. A number of asymptotic results addressing these problems over a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-11 Cari Kaufman , Benjamin Shaby

We prove theorems about the Gaussian asymptotics of an empirical bridge built from linear model regressors with multiple regressor ordering. We study the testing of the hypothesis of a linear model for the components of a random vector: one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

Real-world signals typically span across multiple dimensions, that is, they naturally reside on multi-way data structures referred to as tensors. In contrast to standard ``flat-view'' multivariate matrix models which are agnostic to data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Anh-Huy Phan , Danilo P. Mandic

Few problems in statistics are as perplexing as variable selection in the presence of very many redundant covariates. The variable selection problem is most familiar in parametric environments such as the linear model or additive variants…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-25 Yi Liu , Veronika Ročková , Yuexi Wang

Random matrix theory has become a cornerstone in modern statistics and data science, providing fundamental tools for understanding high-dimensional covariance structures. Within this framework, the Wishart matrix plays a central role in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Fengcheng Liu

While circular data occur in a wide range of scientific fields, the methodology for distributional modeling and probabilistic forecasting of circular response variables is rather limited. Most of the existing methods are built on the…

In circular plot sampling, trees within a given distance from the sample plot location constitute a sample, which is used to infer characteristics of interest for the forest area. If the sample is collected using a technical device located…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-09 Kasper Kansanen , Petteri Packalen , Matti Maltamo , Lauri Mehtätalo

Many standard estimators, when applied to adaptively collected data, fail to be asymptotically normal, thereby complicating the construction of confidence intervals. We address this challenge in a semi-parametric context: estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Licong Lin , Koulik Khamaru , Martin J. Wainwright

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhiyi Chi

Consider a random recusive tree with n vertices. We show that the number of vertices with even depth is asymptotically normal as n tends to infinty. The same is true for the number of vertices of depth divisible by m for m=3, 4 or 5; in all…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Svante Janson

Nonparametric regression is a standard statistical tool with increased importance in the Big Data era. Boundary points pose additional difficulties but local polynomial regression can be used to alleviate them. Local linear regression, for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-04 Srinjoy Das , Dimitris N. Politis

We study the asymptotic behaviour of sequences of multivariate random variables representing the number of occurrences of a given set of symbols in a word of length $n$ generated at random according to a rational stochastic model. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Massimiliano Goldwurm , Claudio Macci , Marco Vignati , Elena Villa

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

Random survival forest and survival trees are popular models in statistics and machine learning. However, there is a lack of general understanding regarding consistency, splitting rules and influence of the censoring mechanism. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Mai Zhou , Michael Kosorok

Modeling and understanding multivariate extreme events is challenging, but of great importance in various applications - e.g. in biostatistics, climatology, and finance. The separating Hill estimator can be used in estimating the extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Matias Heikkilä , Yves Dominicy , Pauliina Ilmonen

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling