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Mixing (or prior) density estimation is an important problem in machine learning and statistics, especially in empirical Bayes $g$-modeling where accurately estimating the prior is necessary for making good posterior inferences. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Shijie Wang , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Qian Qin , Ray Bai

Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) can be used to generate probability density functions of model parameters $\boldsymbol{\theta}$ given a set of observables $\mathbf{x}$. In some applications, training data are available only for discrete…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-18 Charles Burton , Spencer Stubbs , Peter Onyisi

Integrating probability and nonprobability survey samples is an important problem in modern survey sampling. Nonprobability samples often contain rich outcome information but may lack population representativeness, whereas probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Yufang Dai , Shihua Luo , Wendy Lou , Zilin Wang , Xuewen Lu

Scientific machine learning (SciML) increasingly requires models that capture multimodal conditional uncertainty arising from ill-posed inverse problems, multistability, and chaotic dynamics. While recent work has favored highly expressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Leonardo Ferreira Guilhoto , Akshat Kaushal , Paris Perdikaris

Modeling of high-dimensional data is very important to categorize different classes. We develop a new mixture model called Multinomial cluster-weighted model (MCWM). We derive the identifiability of a general class of MCWM. We estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-25 Kehinde Olobatuyi , Oludare Ariyo

Density Estimation is one of the central areas of statistics whose purpose is to estimate the probability density function underlying the observed data. It serves as a building block for many tasks in statistical inference, visualization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Zhipeng Wang , David W. Scott

Hidden Markov models and their variants are the predominant sequential classification method in such domains as speech recognition, bioinformatics and natural language processing. Being generative rather than discriminative models, however,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-18 John A. Quinn , Masashi Sugiyama

Recent studies have shown that deep neural networks (DNNs) perform significantly better than shallow networks and Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) on large vocabulary speech recognition tasks. In this paper, we argue that the improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Dong Yu , Michael L. Seltzer , Jinyu Li , Jui-Ting Huang , Frank Seide

Deep generative models (DGMs) are effective on learning multilayered representations of complex data and performing inference of input data by exploring the generative ability. However, little work has been done on examining or empowering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-16 Chongxuan Li , Jun Zhu , Tianlin Shi , Bo Zhang

Modern Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) often operate on high-dimensional data and rely on overparameterized models, where classical low-dimensional intuitions break down. In particular, the proportional regime where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-17 Zhenyu Liao , Michael W. Mahoney

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are widely used for their ability to effectively approximate large classes of functions. This flexibility, however, makes the strict enforcement of constraints on DNNs an open problem. Here we present a framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Eric Marcus , Ray Sheombarsing , Jan-Jakob Sonke , Jonas Teuwen

We derive a new margin-based regularization formulation, termed multi-margin regularization (MMR), for deep neural networks (DNNs). The MMR is inspired by principles that were applied in margin analysis of shallow linear classifiers, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Berry Weinstein , Shai Fine , Yacov Hel-Or

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang

We propose a novel deep neural network methodology for density estimation on product Riemannian manifold domains. In our approach, the network directly parameterizes the unknown density function and is trained using a penalized maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 William Consagra , Zhiling Gu , Zhengwu Zhang

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful machine learning models and have succeeded in various artificial intelligence tasks. Although various architectures and modules for the DNNs have been proposed, selecting and designing the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-24 Shinichi Shirakawa , Yasushi Iwata , Youhei Akimoto

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

Training a deep neural network (DNN) often involves stochastic optimization, which means each run will produce a different model. Several works suggest this variability is negligible when models have the same performance, which in the case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sinjini Banerjee , Reilly Cannon , Tim Marrinan , Tony Chiang , Anand D. Sarwate

While deep neural networks (DNNs) have been increasingly applied to choice analysis showing high predictive power, it is unclear to what extent researchers can interpret economic information from DNNs. This paper demonstrates that DNNs can…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-06 Shenhao Wang , Qingyi Wang , Jinhua Zhao