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The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Odile Sauzet

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

In the realm of contemporary data analysis, the use of massive datasets has taken on heightened significance, albeit often entailing considerable demands on computational time and memory. While a multitude of existing works offer optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Tal Agassi , Nir Keret , Malka Gorfine

Sample size determination for cluster randomised trials (CRTs) is challenging as it requires robust estimation of the intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ICC). Typically, the sample size is chosen to provide a certain level of power to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-23 S. Faye Williamson , Svetlana V. Tishkovskaya , Kevin J. Wilson

Probabilistic survival analysis models seek to estimate the distribution of the future occurrence (time) of an event given a set of covariates. In recent years, these models have preferred nonparametric specifications that avoid directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Deming Sheng , Ricardo Henao

Background: Clinical prediction models are increasingly used to inform healthcare decisions, but determining the minimum sample size for their development remains a critical and unresolved challenge. Inadequate sample sizes can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Diana Shamsutdinova , Felix Zimmer , Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran , Sarah Markham , Daniel Stahl , Gordon Forbes , Ewan Carr

In this paper we test the composite hypothesis that lifetimes follow an exponential distribution based on observed randomly right censored data. Testing this hypothesis is complicated by the presence of this censoring, due to the fact that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 E. Bothma , J. S. Allison , M. Cockeran , I. J. H. Visagie

When evaluating the performance of a model for individualised risk prediction, the sample size needs to be large enough to precisely estimate the performance measures of interest. Current sample size guidance is based on precisely…

The bootstrap, based on resampling, has, for several decades, been a widely used method for computing confidence intervals for applications where no exact method is available and when sample sizes are not large enough to be able to rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-27 Chris Gotwalt , Li Xu , Yili Hong , William Q. Meeker

Classical two-sample permutation tests for equality of distributions have exact size in finite samples, but they fail to control size for testing equality of parameters that summarize each distribution. This paper proposes permutation tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-22 Marinho Bertanha , EunYi Chung

In survival analysis the random censorship model refers to censoring and survival times being independent of each other. It is one of the fundamental assumptions in the theory of survival analysis. We explain the reason for it being so…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-06 Damjan Krstajic

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

When planning a clinical trial for a time-to-event endpoint, we require an estimated effect size and need to consider the type of effect. Usually, an effect of proportional hazards is assumed with the hazard ratio as the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Ina Dormuth

Most clinical trials conducted in drug development contain multiple endpoints in order to collectively assess the intended effects of the drug on various disease characteristics. Focusing on the estimation of the global win probability,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

The use of historical controls offers a valuable alternative when traditional randomized controlled trials are not feasible. However, such approaches may introduce bias due to temporal changes in patient populations, diagnostic criteria,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Marco Ratta , Pavel Mozgunov , Sandrine Boulet , Moreno Ursino

This work presents a statistically principled method for estimating the required number of instances in the experimental comparison of multiple algorithms on a given problem class of interest. This approach generalises earlier results by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-06 Felipe Campelo , Elizabeth F. Wanner

This paper develops power and sample size formulas for causal inference with time-to-event outcomes. The target estimand is the marginal hazard ratio: the coefficient of a marginal structural Cox proportional hazard model with treatment as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chengxin Yang , Bo Liu , Fan Li

Contemporary statistical publications rely on simulation to evaluate performance of new methods and compare them with established methods. In the context of meta-analysis of log-odds-ratios, we investigate how the ways in which simulations…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin , Ilyas Bakbergenuly

Bayesian sample size calculations in clinical trials usually rely on complex Monte Carlo simulations in practice. Obtaining bounds on Bayesian notions of the false-positive rate and power often lack closed-form or approximate numerical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Riko Kelter

Standard random-effects meta-analysis methods perform poorly when applied to few studies only. Such settings however are commonly encountered in practice. It is unclear, whether or to what extent small-sample-size behaviour can be improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Svenja E. Seide , Christian Röver , Tim Friede