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I develop a rather simple agent-based model to capture a co-evolution of opinion formation, political decision making and economic outcomes. I use this model to study how societies form opinions if their members have opposing interests.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-19 Patrick Mellacher

A main issue in improving public sector efficiency is to understand to what extent public appointments are based on worker capability, instead of being used to reward political supporters (patronage). I contribute to a recent literature…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-21 Pedro Forquesato

Online social networks are used to diffuse opinions and ideas among users, enabling a faster communication and a wider audience. The way in which opinions are conditioned by social interactions is usually called social influence. Social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo , Stefano Ponziani

Democratic societies increasingly rely on communication networks to aggregate citizen preferences and information, yet these same networks can systematically mislead voters under certain conditions. We introduce an agent-based model that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-30 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Po-Kang Hsiao

The present study argues that political communication on social media is mediated by a platform's digital architecture, defined as the technical protocols that enable, constrain, and shape user behavior in a virtual space. A framework for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Michael Bossetta

Social media are decentralized, interactive, and transformative, empowering users to produce and spread information to influence others. This has changed the dynamics of political communication that were previously dominated by traditional…

Several elections run in the last years have been characterized by attempts to manipulate the result of the election through the diffusion of fake or malicious news over social networks. This problem has been recognized as a critical issue…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Vincenzo Auletta , Francesco Carbone , Diodato Ferraioli

Recent empirical findings suggest that societies have become more polarized in various countries. That is, the median voter of today represents a smaller fraction of society compared to two decades ago and yet, the mechanisms underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-15 Lucas Böttcher , Pedro Montealegre , Eric Goles , Hans Gersbach

We develop a model of electoral accountability with mainstream and alternative media. In addition to regular high- and low-competence types, the incumbent may be an aspiring autocrat who controls the mainstream media and will subvert…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-02 Anqi Li , Davin Raiha , Kenneth W. Shotts

The probability of a given candidate winning a future election is worked out in closed form as a function of (i) the current support rates for each candidate, (ii) the relative positioning of the candidates within the political spectrum,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Dorje C. Brody , Tomooki Yuasa

Social Media have been extensively used for commercial and political communication, besides their initial scope of providing an easy-to-use outlet to produce and consume user-generated content. Besides being a popular medium, Social Media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Kostas Karpouzis , Stavros Kaperonis , Yannis Skarpelos

Political advertising on digital platforms has grown dramatically in recent years as campaigns embrace new ways of targeting supporters and potential voters. Previous scholarship shows that digital advertising has both positive effects on…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-11 NaLette Brodnax , Piotr Sapiezynski

Due to the extensive role of social networks in social media, it is easy for people to share the news, and it spreads faster than ever before. These platforms also have been exploited to share the rumor or fake information, which is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Akrati Saxena , Harsh Saxena , Ralucca Gera

This paper models voters who invest effort to determine whether a particular claim relevant to their voting choices is correct. If a voter succeeds in determining whether the claim is correct, this information is shared via a social…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Boris Ginzburg

Election prediction has long been an evergreen in political science literature. Traditionally, such efforts included polling aggregates, economic indicators, partisan affiliation, and campaign effects to predict aggregate voting outcomes.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Hamza Salem , Fabian Stephany

Social media has brought a revolution on how people are consuming news. Beyond the undoubtedly large number of advantages brought by social-media platforms, a point of criticism has been the creation of echo chambers and filter bubbles,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Kiran Garimella , Aristides Gionis , Nikos Parotsidis , Nikolaj Tatti

Analysis how to use Internet influence to the process of political communication, marketing and the management of public relations, what kind of online communication methods are used by political parties, and to assess satisfaction, means…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-09-13 Sali Emruli , Miroslav Baca

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly shaping how information is created and disseminated, from companies using them to craft persuasive advertisements, to election campaigns optimizing messaging to gain votes, to social media…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Batu El , James Zou

Social media are massive marketplaces where ideas and news compete for our attention. Previous studies have shown that quality is not a necessary condition for online virality and that knowledge about peer choices can distort the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-11 Xiaoyan Qiu , Diego F. M. Oliveira , Alireza Sahami Shirazi , Alessandro Flammini , Filippo Menczer

In this paper we study the impact of news media and public surveys on the electoral campaigns for political competitions. We present an agent-based model that addresses the effective influence of surveys in orienting the opinions of voters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-28 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda