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In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

Bayesian neural network posterior distributions have a great number of modes that correspond to the same network function. The abundance of such modes can make it difficult for approximate inference methods to do their job. Recent work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Tommy Rochussen

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

Cognitive diagnostic assessment aims to measure specific knowledge structures in students. To model data arising from such assessments, cognitive diagnostic models with discrete latent variables have gained popularity in educational and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

We study methods for reconstructing Bayesian uncertainties on dynamical mass estimates of galaxy clusters using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). We discuss the statistical background of approximate Bayesian neural networks and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-16 Matthew Ho , Arya Farahi , Markus Michael Rau , Hy Trac

Bayesian neural networks offer better estimates of model uncertainty compared to frequentist networks. However, inference involving Bayesian models requires multiple instantiations or sampling of the network parameters, requiring…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Prabodh Katti , Anagha Nimbekar , Chen Li , Amit Acharyya , Bashir M. Al-Hashimi , Bipin Rajendran

Vulnerability to adversarial attacks is one of the principal hurdles to the adoption of deep learning in safety-critical applications. Despite significant efforts, both practical and theoretical, training deep learning models robust to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Luca Bortolussi , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Guido Sanguinetti , Matthew Wicker

It is known that describing or calculating the conditional probabilities of multiple events is exponentially expensive. In this work, Bayesian tensor network (BTN) is proposed to efficiently capture the conditional probabilities of multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-08 Shi-Ju Ran

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

We consider adversarial training of deep neural networks through the lens of Bayesian learning, and present a principled framework for adversarial training of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) with certifiable guarantees. We rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Zhoutong Chen , Zheng Zhang , Marta Kwiatkowska

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a widely used graphical model in machine learning for representing knowledge with uncertainty. The mainstream BN structure learning methods require performing a large number of conditional independence (CI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Jiantong Jiang , Zeyi Wen , Ajmal Mian

We propose a Bayesian physics-informed neural network (B-PINN) to solve both forward and inverse nonlinear problems described by partial differential equations (PDEs) and noisy data. In this Bayesian framework, the Bayesian neural network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-02 Liu Yang , Xuhui Meng , George Em Karniadakis

Sparse deep learning aims to address the challenge of huge storage consumption by deep neural networks, and to recover the sparse structure of target functions. Although tremendous empirical successes have been achieved, most sparse deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-17 Jincheng Bai , Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

A Bayesian net (BN) is more than a succinct way to encode a probabilistic distribution; it also corresponds to a function used to answer queries. A BN can therefore be evaluated by the accuracy of the answers it returns. Many algorithms for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Russell Greiner , Adam J. Grove , Dale Schuurmans

This work presents a novel ensemble of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for control of safety-critical systems. Decision making for safety-critical systems is challenging due to performance requirements with significant consequences in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Keuntaek Lee , Ziyi Wang , Bogdan I. Vlahov , Harleen K. Brar , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) allow us to reason about uncertainty in a principled way. Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) enables efficient BNN learning by drawing samples from the BNN posterior using mini-batches. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-28 Kuan-Chieh Wang , Paul Vicol , James Lucas , Li Gu , Roger Grosse , Richard Zemel

Large multilayer neural networks trained with backpropagation have recently achieved state-of-the-art results in a wide range of problems. However, using backprop for neural net learning still has some disadvantages, e.g., having to tune a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-16 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Ryan P. Adams

Bayesian neural networks and deep ensembles represent two modern paradigms of uncertainty quantification in deep learning. Yet these approaches struggle to scale mainly due to memory inefficiency issues, since they require parameter storage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Hippolyt Ritter , Martin Kukla , Cheng Zhang , Yingzhen Li

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal
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