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Many parameter estimation problems arising in applications are best cast in the framework of Bayesian inversion. This allows not only for an estimate of the parameters, but also for the quantification of uncertainties in the estimates.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Emmet Cleary , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Shiwei Lan , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M Stuart

High-fidelity simulations are essential for predicting material behavior under high-velocity impact (HVI), but their accuracy depends on material models and parameters that are often calibrated by manual fitting to multiple costly…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-01 Rong Jin , Guangyao Wang , Xingsheng Sun

This work introduces a new, distributed implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) that allows for non-sequential assimilation of large datasets in high-dimensional problems. The traditional EnKF algorithm is computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-23 Cédric Travelletti , Jörg Franke , David Ginsbourger , Stefan Brönnimann

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

For many scientific inverse problems we are required to evaluate an expensive forward model. Moreover, the model is often given in such a form that it is unrealistic to access its gradients. In such a scenario, standard Markov Chain Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-21 Richard D. P. Grumitt , Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model selection. An important special case of the latter is the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-05 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Alexis Hannart , Michael Ghil

This study considers the data assimilation problem in coupled systems, which consists of two components (sub-systems) interacting with each other through certain coupling terms. A straightforward way to tackle the assimilation problem in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation plays a key role in large-scale atmospheric weather forecasting, where the state of the physical system is estimated from model outputs and observations, and is then used as initial condition to produce accurate future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Azam Moosavi , Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

In recent years, uncertainty-aware full waveform inversion (FWI) has received increasing attention, with a growing emphasis on producing informative uncertainty estimates alongside inversion results. Bayesian inference methods--particularly…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-14 Yunduo Li , Yijie Zhang , Xueyu Zhu , Jinghuai Gao

The majority of data assimilation (DA) methods in the geosciences are based on Gaussian assumptions. While these assumptions facilitate efficient algorithms, they cause analysis biases and subsequent forecast degradations. Non-parametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Hristo G. Chipilski

We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Brianna Binder , Agnimitra Dasgupta , Assad Oberai

This paper introduces a data assimilation (DA) framework based on the extended Kalman filter-cell transmission model, designed to assist jam-absorption driving (JAD) operation to alleviate sag traffic congestion. To ascertain and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Siyu Li , Ryosuke Nishi , Daichi Yanagisawa , Katsuhiro Nishinari

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

This paper studies the convergence conditions and properties of the distributed adaptive signal fusion (DASF) algorithm, the framework itself having been introduced in a `Part I' companion paper. The DASF algorithm can be used to solve…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-12 Cem Ates Musluoglu , Charles Hovine , Alexander Bertrand

Numerical solvers using adaptive meshes can focus computational power on important regions of a model domain capturing important or unresolved physics. The adaptation can be informed by the model state, external information, or made to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-12 Christian Sampson , Alberto Carrassi , Ali Aydoğdu , Chris K. R. T Jones

The distributed adaptive signal fusion (DASF) framework allows to solve spatial filtering optimization problems in a distributed and adaptive fashion over a bandwidth-constrained wireless sensor network. The DASF algorithm requires each…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-02 Cem Ates Musluoglu , Alexander Bertrand

In this study, two classes of methods including statistical and variational data assimilation algorithms will be described. In statistical methods, the model state is updated sequentially based on the previous estimate. Variational methods,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Loc Luong

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich