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Related papers: Ordinal pattern dependence as a multivariate depen…

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In this paper we investigate a quantity called conditional entropy of ordinal patterns, akin to the permutation entropy. The conditional entropy of ordinal patterns describes the average diversity of the ordinal patterns succeeding a given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-22 Anton M. Unakafov , Karsten Keller

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

In his seminal work, Chatterjee (2021) introduced a novel correlation measure which is distribution-free, asymptotically normal, and consistent against all alternatives. In this paper, we study the probabilistic relationships between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Qingyang Zhang

We propose two novel ways of introducing dependence among Poisson counts through the use of latent variables in a three levels hierarchical model. Marginal distributions of the random variables of interest are Poisson with strict…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

The partial correlation coefficient is a commonly used measure to assess the conditional dependence between two random variables. We provide a thorough explanation of the partial copula, which is a natural generalization of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

The assessment of monotone dependence between random variables $X$ and $Y$ is a classical problem in statistics and a gamut of application domains. Consequently, researchers have sought measures of association that are invariant under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Eva-Maria Walz , Andreas Eberl , Tilmann Gneiting

We present a general framework for a comparative theory of variability measures, with a particular focus on the recently introduced one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences, that are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Fabio Bellini , Tolulope Fadina , Ruodu Wang , Yunran Wei

Novel significance tests are proposed for the quite general additive concurrent model formulation without the need of model, error structure preliminary estimation or the use of tuning parameters. Making use of the martingale difference…

Some challenging problems in tracking multiple objects include the time-dependent cardinality, unordered measurements and object parameter labeling. In this paper, we employ Bayesian Bayesian nonparametric methods to address these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Bahman Moraffah , Antonia Papndreou-Suppopola

The system of two scalar order parameters on a complex scale-free network is analyzed in the spirit of Landau theory. To add a microscopic background to the phenomenological approach we also study a particular spin Hamiltonian that leads to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-02 V. Palchykov , C. von Ferber , R. Folk , Yu. Holovatch

This study demonstrates the existence of a testable condition for the identification of the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data, which relies on two sets of variables: observed covariates to be controlled for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

We propose to quantify dependence between two systems $X$ and $Y$ in a dataset $D$ based on the Bayesian comparison of two models: one, $H_0$, of statistical independence and another one, $H_1$, of dependence. In this framework, dependence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guillaume Marrelec , Alain Giron

Order patterns apply well to many fields, because of minimal stationarity assumptions. Here we fix the methodology of patterns of length 3 by introducing an orthogonal system of four pattern contrasts. These contrasts are statistically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Christoph Bandt

We show that the stochastic independence of real-valued random variables is equivalent to the conditional uncorrelation, where the conditioning takes place over the Cartesian products of intervals. Next, we express the mutual independence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Dawid Tarłowski

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric bivariate dependence measures, we propose a new set of conditions on nonsymmetric multivariate dependence measures which characterize both independence and complete dependence of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-04 Hui Li

This paper is dedicated to a robust ordinal method for learning the preferences of a decision maker between subsets. The decision model, derived from Fishburn and LaValle (1996) and whose parameters we learn, is general enough to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Hugo Gilbert , Mohamed Ouaguenouni , Meltem Ozturk , Olivier Spanjaard

We present a bivariate vector valued discrete autoregressive model of order $1$ (BDAR($1$)) for discrete time series. The BDAR($1$) model assumes that each time series follows its own univariate DAR($1$) model with dependent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

The problem of measuring conditional dependence between two random phenomena arises when a third one (a confounder) has a potential influence on the amount of information between them. A typical issue in this challenging problem is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ferran de Cabrera , Marc Vilà-Insa , Jaume Riba

The multivariate sequential ordinal model is investigated for use in the Bayesian analysis of spatio-temporal ordinal data. The sequential ordinal model likelihood is equivalent to a binary model conditional on unknown regression…